Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 20

Date: 5 February 2023, Sunday


	Arenas Club de Getxo		Racing Rioja

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.1	3.9
	1.93	3.1	3.85
	1.94	3.1	3.45
	1.83	3.31	4.32
	1.85	3.3	4.15
	1.9	3.2	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↓ (1.97)	3.19 ↑ (3)	3.91 ↑ (3.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arenas Club de Getxo
48.3%

Draw
28.5%

Racing Rioja
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.1%

30.3%

23.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.4%

31.8%

22.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arenas Club de Getxo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Racing Rioja has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arenas Club de Getxo than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing Rioja than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Arenas Club de Getxo - Racing Rioja Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 8 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Arenas Club is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Racing Rioja is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Arenas Club could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Arenas Club will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Arenas Club won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Arenas Club won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arenas Club de Getxo
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
29.01.23	Arnedo - Arenas Club de Getxo	0:0 ✺
22.01.23	Arenas Club de Getxo - Brea	2:1 ✺
15.01.23	Arenas Club de Getxo - Cirbonero	2:3 ✺
08.01.23	Mutilvera - Arenas Club de Getxo	1:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
21.12.22	Arenas Club de Getxo - Valladolid	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TWLLL
- Racing Rioja
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
28.01.23	Racing Rioja - UD Logroñés Promesas	2:1 ✺
22.01.23	Alfaro - Racing Rioja	0:0 ✺
15.01.23	Utebo - Racing Rioja	1:1 ✺
07.01.23	Racing Rioja - Tarazona	2:0 ✺
17.12.22	Izarra - Racing Rioja	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
17.09.22	Racing Rioja - Arenas Club de Getxo	0:2
08.05.22	Arenas Club de Getxo - Racing Rioja	2:1
02.02.22	Racing Rioja - Arenas Club de Getxo	0:0

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