Match Info

NORWAY: DIVISION 2 - GROUP 1 - ROUND 18

Date: 4 September 2023, Monday


	Lyn		Arendal

	1	X	2
	1.67	3.95	4
	1.65	4.15	4.4
	1.62	3.7	4.2
	1.63	4.15	4.33	Watch
	1.62	3.95	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↑ (1.34)	3.98 ↓ (4.75)	4.25 ↓ (6.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lyn
55.6%

Draw
22.9%

Arendal
21.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.6%

19.1%

13.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70%

18.4%

12.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lyn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lyn's form might have worsened.

Arendal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Arendal's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lyn than the current prediction. (+14.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lyn, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arendal than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Arendal, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	22.2%	55.6%

Lyn - Arendal Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Lyn will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Arendal will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Arendal: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pedersen A. (G) 16. Breistol O. 5. Bydal E. 19. Hellum A. 7. Kristiansen H. 22. Meinseth H. 18. Nilsen H. 9. Olsen A. 6. Schneider D. 4. Sell W. (C) 21. Skaug J.	37. Brauti J. (G) 5. Andersen S. 4. Bergan V. 10. Berge S. 17. Cheng C. 2. Fredriksen J. 19. Habestad O. 20. Johansen M. 14. Makiadi A. 16. Marthinussen S. 6. Salte T. (C)
Substitutes
11. Elvevold H. 33. Engh V. (G) 51. Fredriksen E. 20. Hanstad J. 77. Hylen B. 2. Isegran R. 14. Laajab I. 3. Randers A. 15. Sivertsen E.	8. Christensen R. L. 3. Egell-Johnsen K. 9. Frederiksen J. 13. Kiilerich S. 15. Lereng E. 7. Skeie P. 27. Skjaevestad B. (G) 11. Torp M.

Preview

The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ OBOS~ligaen and 4).

Lyn in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Arendal is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Lyn could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Lyn is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Lyn to win the game is with odds 1.66.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Lyn won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lyn Fotball
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
27.08.23	Lyn - Brattvåg	1:0 ✺
21.08.23	Vålerenga 2 - Lyn	1:2 ✺
16.08.23	Kjelsås - Lyn	0:1 ✺
12.08.23	Lyn - Egersund	2:1 ✺
08.07.23	Lyn - Notodden	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WWWWW
- Arendal Fotball
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
26.08.23	Arendal - Egersund	1:1 ✺
19.08.23	Flekkerøy - Arendal	3:0 ✺
12.08.23	Arendal - Brattvåg	0:3 ✺
16.07.23	Vålerenga 2 - Arendal	0:3 ✺
08.07.23	Arendal - Flekkerøy	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 TLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
13.05.23	Arendal - Lyn	2:1

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