Match Info

Division 2 - Group 1 - Round 9

Date: 31 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Norac stadion (Arendal)


	Arendal		Sotra

	1	X	2
	3.95	3.85	1.72
	3.89	3.76	1.82
	4	4.05	1.72	Watch
	3.7	3.3	1.8
	4.22	3.78	1.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.95 ↓ (4)	3.75 ↓ (4.05)	1.75 ↑ (1.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arendal
23.2%

Draw
24.4%

Sotra
52.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.2%

22.9%

53.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.5%

22.2%

55.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Arendal have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Sotra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arendal than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sotra than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

Arendal - Sotra Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Smedplass A. (G) 15. Curic A. 9. Dvergsdal T. 16. Helgesen E. 18. Nygaard S. 4. Osnes H. 20. Osterud A. (C) 7. Skjold A. 17. Suggelia H. 8. Trengereid M. 11. Victorio M.	1. Grasmo M. (G) 17. Aaserud M. 7. Falck F. 8. Foldnes H. 11. Haland T. 19. Hjorteseth I. 3. Johansen A. 24. Larsen E. 26. Myrmo M. 2. Ree K. 23. Torum D. (C)
Substitutes
2. Eriksen S. 19. Ibishi D. 22. Mang-Thang F. 25. Nilsen A. E. 27. Nundal J. 13. Ostbo S. (G)	14. Amdam A. 22. Bildoy M. 10. Kilen L. 5. Skar O. M. D. 16. Sulen R. H. (G) 4. Tveit J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Falck F. ⚽,
21', Osnes H. ↓, Nilsen A. E. ↑,
32', 1 - 1, Nilsen A. E. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Curic A. ↓, Nundal J. ↑,
66', Haland T. ↓, Kilen L. ↑,
68', Larsen E. 🟨,
74', Nundal J. 🟨,
77', Skjold A. ↓, Ibishi D. ↑,
77', Osterud A. ↓, Eriksen S. ↑,
90+4', Victorio M. ↓, Mang-Thang F. ↑,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 3).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arendal won 1.

Arendal has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Sotra is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Sotra is the team to beat.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Arendal won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:16. (average 1.5:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Arendal won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:4. (average 2:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Sotra	22	12	3	7	47:25	22	39
10	Arendal	22	7	5	10	30:38	-8	26

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arendal Fotball
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
25.05.26	Lysekloster - Arendal	1:1 ✺
16.05.26	Arendal - Jerv	1:2 ✺
10.05.26	Brattvåg - Arendal	2:0 ✺
03.05.26	Arendal - Sandviken	0:0 ✺
25.04.26	Kvik Halden - Arendal	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 TLLTL
- Sotra SK
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
25.05.26	Sotra - Bjarg	1:2 ✺
14.05.26	Vidar - Sotra	1:3 ✺
10.05.26	Sotra - Eik-Tønsberg	6:0 ✺
03.05.26	Pors - Sotra	0:0 ✺
25.04.26	Sotra - Mjøndalen	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
07.09.25	Sotra - Arendal	3:1
02.05.25	Arendal - Sotra	1:1
08.09.24	Arendal - Sotra	0:1
26.05.24	Sotra - Arendal	2:1
24.09.22	Sotra - Arendal	1:2
08.05.22	Arendal - Sotra	3:1
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 2
01.09.21	Arendal - Sotra	4:1

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