Match Info

Date: 22 May 2022, Sunday


	Arendal		Øygarden

	1	X	2
	1.53	4.1	4.75
	1.68	4	3.8
	1.53	4.1	4.8
	1.58	4.61	4.61
	1.52	3.7	5
	1.55	4.2	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.82)	4.12 ↑ (3.9)	4.64 ↑ (3.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arendal
58.2%

Draw
22.1%

Øygarden
19.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.3%

23.5%

26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.4%

23%

25.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arendal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arendal's performance.

Øygarden has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Øygarden might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arendal than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arendal that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Øygarden than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Øygarden could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Arendal - Øygarden Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 3 and 5).

Arendal is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Øygarden is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Øygarden could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Arendal will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Arendal won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Arendal won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arendal Fotball
Norwegian NM Cup
18.05.22	Pors - Arendal	2:3 ✺
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
14.05.22	Notodden - Arendal	2:0 ✺
08.05.22	Arendal - Sotra	3:1 ✺
01.05.22	Kvik Halden - Arendal	1:3 ✺
24.04.22	Arendal - Staal Jørpeland	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLWWT
- Øygarden FK
Norwegian NM Cup
18.05.22	Bremnes - Øygarden	2:5 ✺
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
14.05.22	Øygarden - Odd 2	2:1 ✺
07.05.22	Moss - Øygarden	3:1 ✺
30.04.22	Øygarden - Strømmen	1:2 ✺
23.04.22	Øygarden - Vard Haugesund	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 2 - Group 2
23.10.21	Øygarden - Arendal	3:1
26.06.21	Arendal - Øygarden	3:1

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