Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 35

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio de Espiñedo (Ourense)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Arenteiro		Cacereño

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.1	2.75
	2.45	3.1	2.72
	2.54	3.2	2.72
	2.17	3.74	2.93	Watch
	2.45	2.8	2.7
	2.45	3.22	2.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↑ (2.04)	3.19 ↓ (3.36)	2.78 ↓ (3.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arenteiro
38.2%

Draw
28.7%

Cacereño
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.8%

27.2%

28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2%

27%

27.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arenteiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arenteiro's form might have worsened.

Cacereño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arenteiro than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arenteiro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cacereño than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Cacereño, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Arenteiro - Cacereño Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Arenteiro will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Cacereño will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Alvin (G) 22. Sanchez J. 4. Falcon E. 5. Perez G. 16. Lasure D. 11. Cuellar J. 6. Val B. 7. Ferreiro D. 10. Chuca 15. Moreno D. 18. Mingo V.	1. Nieves D. (G) 3. Barrio J. 2. Martinez Munoz I. 5. de Diego J. 21. Alonso J. 10. Hyjek J. 6. Conesa N. 15. Monerris A. 25. Vazquez K. 9. Gomez D. 20. Palacin P.
Substitutes
19. Alpha M. 25. Bastida A. 13. Garcia D. (G) 8. Gonzalez D. 23. Kandoussi B. 3. Lohr L. 21. Lopez A. 17. Molina A. 2. Moya P. 9. Ramon N. 14. Safrai	17. Berlanga M. 4. Crespo A. 23. El Goumiri O. 7. Fernandez I. 19. Gomez C. 16. Gutierrez D. 22. Hernandez E. 12. Kaptoum W. 13. Quevedo A. (G) 11. Sanchidrian R. 18. Sanchis R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
21', Cuellar J. 🟨,
26', Chuca ↓, Bastida A. ↑,
36', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 4)
46', Sanchez J. ↓, Alpha M. ↑,
52', 0 - 1, Hyjek J. (Penalty Awarded),
58', 0 - 2, Barrio J. ⚽,
65', Cuellar J. ↓, Molina A. ↑,
65', Moreno D. ↓, Ramon N. ↑,
65', Vazquez K. ↓, Berlanga M. ↑,
66', 0 - 3, Perez G. (Own goal),
70', 0 - 4, Monerris A. ⚽,
71', 🟨,
73', Conesa N. ↓, Gutierrez D. ↑,
73', Martinez Munoz I. ↓, El Goumiri O. ↑,
82', Monerris A. ↓, Fernandez I. ↑,
82', Gomez D. ↓, Gomez C. ↑,
90+3', 🟨,
90+4', 🟨,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Arenteiro has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Cacereño's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Cacereño may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Arenteiro won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Cacereno	6	3	2	1	6:3	3	11

Last Results with these Odds

Cacereño - the odds 3.26 are the expected chance of winning is 28.02%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Arenteiro
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
25.04.26	Osasuna B - Arenteiro	1:0 ✺
19.04.26	Arenteiro - Mérida AD	0:2 ✺
12.04.26	Barakaldo - Arenteiro	1:1 ✺
05.04.26	Arenteiro - Arenas Club de Getxo	1:2 ✺
28.03.26	Unionistas de Salamanca - Arenteiro	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LLTLL
- CP Cacereño
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
24.04.26	Cacereño - CD Guadalajara	1:1 ✺
17.04.26	Celta de Vigo B - Cacereño	3:0 ✺
10.04.26	Cacereño - Athletic Bilbao B	1:0 ✺
04.04.26	Tenerife - Cacereño	1:1 ✺
29.03.26	Cacereño - Lugo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 TLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
14.09.25	Cacereño - Arenteiro	0:2

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