Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 32

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Campo de Lasesarre (Barakaldo)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Barakaldo		Arenteiro

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.8	6.5
	1.47	3.95	6.3
	1.45	4.33	6.53
	1.57	4.08	5.31	Watch
	1.44	3.8	5.75
	1.52	3.85	6.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.51)	3.97 ↑ (3.82)	6.16 ↓ (6.62)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Barakaldo
61.8%

Draw
23.2%

Arenteiro
15%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.6%

24.3%

14.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.8%

23.5%

13.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Barakaldo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Arenteiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barakaldo than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arenteiro than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Barakaldo - Arenteiro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ispizua I. (G) 7. Pedernales I. 4. Dufur U. 18. Arana M. 16. Lopez O. 20. Mandiang S. 5. Molina E. 8. Huidobro J. 11. Perez E. 10. Sabin 19. Galarza A.	13. Garcia D. (G) 22. Sanchez J. 5. Perez G. 2. Moya P. 16. Lasure D. 7. Ferreiro D. 25. Bastida A. 10. Chuca 21. Lopez A. 15. Moreno D. 23. Kandoussi B.
Substitutes
23. Albizua U. 13. Campos G. (G) 15. Castillo I. 2. de Jesus B. 17. de Leon J. 14. Munoz I. 21. Pena A. 24. Ropero I. 22. Torra M. 9. Valino A.	19. Alpha M. 1. Alvin (G) 4. Falcon E. 8. Gonzalez D. 3. Lohr L. 17. Molina A. 14. Safrai 6. Val B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
19', 1 - 0, Sabin ⚽,
21', 🟨,
28', 1 - 1, Kandoussi B. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Kandoussi B. ↓, Molina A. ↑,
66', Sabin ↓, Pena A. ↑,
66', Molina E. ↓, Castillo I. ↑,
77', 🟨,
78', Lopez O. ↓, de Jesus B. ↑,
78', Mandiang S. ↓, de Leon J. ↑,
82', Lopez A. ↓, Safrai ↑,
82', Chuca ↓, Gonzalez D. ↑,
85', 🟨,
86', Galarza A. ↓, Valino A. ↑,
90+4', 🟥,
90+4', 🟨,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1 and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Barakaldo is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Arenteiro has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Barakaldo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Barakaldo is considered a favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Barakaldo won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Barakaldo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	Barakaldo	6	1	3	2	6:9	-3	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Barakaldo CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
04.04.26	Pontevedra - Barakaldo	2:0 ✺
27.03.26	Barakaldo - Real Madrid Castilla	2:1 ✺
22.03.26	Ferrol - Barakaldo	0:0 ✺
15.03.26	Unionistas de Salamanca - Barakaldo	0:3 ✺
08.03.26	Barakaldo - Ourense CF	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LWTWW
- CD Arenteiro
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
05.04.26	Arenteiro - Arenas Club de Getxo	1:2 ✺
28.03.26	Unionistas de Salamanca - Arenteiro	3:1 ✺
20.03.26	Arenteiro - Celta de Vigo B	1:1 ✺
14.03.26	Zamora - Arenteiro	1:0 ✺
07.03.26	Arenteiro - Real Madrid Castilla	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
05.10.25	Arenteiro - Barakaldo	1:1
19.02.25	Arenteiro - Barakaldo	1:1
05.10.24	Barakaldo - Arenteiro	2:0

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