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Current Win Probability
Unionistas de Salamanca 43.9%
Draw 30.8%
Arenteiro 25.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
47%
29.7%
23.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.5%
24.3%
28.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Unionistas de Salamanca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
Arenteiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unionistas de Salamanca than the current prediction. (-5.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Unionistas de Salamanca that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arenteiro than the current prediction. (+3%)
Unionistas de Salamanca - Arenteiro Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Carrasco S. (G) 2. Olmedo V. 5. Farru 3. Gorjon A. 20. Encuentra J. 8. Lopez J. 6. Juanje 11. Gomez A. 10. de la Nava C. (C) 23. Pinan A. 12. Artola J.
13. Garcia D. (G) 22. Sanchez J. 4. Falcon E. 3. Lohr L. 16. Lasure D. 25. Bastida A. 6. Val B. 7. Ferreiro D. 23. Kandoussi B. 15. Moreno D. 18. Mingo V.
Substitutes
7. Arvelo A. 27. Castillo G. (G) 15. Chibozo A. 22. Lendinez J. 21. Marco P. 24. Masllorens J. 4. Mayor R. 16. Murria V. 19. Prada R. 14. Saidi A. 9. Serpeta 13. Suarez Coronas Lastra M. (G)
19. Alpha M. 1. Alvin (G) 10. Chuca 11. Cuellar J. 8. Gonzalez D. 21. Lopez A. 17. Molina A. 2. Moya P. 5. Perez G. 14. Safrai
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
7', 1 - 0, Artola J. ⚽,
43', 2 - 0, Pinan A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
59', Farru 🟨,
61', Artola J. ↓, Chibozo A. ↑,
62', Olmedo V. 🟨,
67', Val B. ↓, Chuca ↑,
67', Kandoussi B. ↓, Safrai ↑,
76', 2 - 1, Bastida A. ⚽,
78', Pinan A. ↓, Serpeta ↑,
78', Olmedo V. ↓, Murria V. ↑,
84', de la Nava C. ↓, Lendinez J. ↑,
84', Lopez J. ↓, Masllorens J. ↑,
90+4', 3 - 1, Chibozo A. ⚽,
90+6', 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 12 and 19 in the zone Relegation).
Recent performances by Unionistas have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Arenteiro is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins โ 0).
Unionistas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Unionistas is considered a favorite.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Unionistas won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 0.8:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Unionistas won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 2:0).