Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 10

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday


	Aretxabaleta		San Ignacio

	1	X	2
	2.08	2.98	3.4
	2.17	2.94	3.5
	2.25	3.30	3.01	Watch
	2.1	3.02	3.4
	1.88	3.25	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↑ (1.77)	3.1 ↓ (3.3)	3.44 ↓ (4.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aretxabaleta
43.8%

Draw
29.6%

San Ignacio
26.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.3%

27.5%

21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2%

27%

20.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aretxabaleta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Aretxabaleta's form might have worsened.

San Ignacio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting San Ignacio's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aretxabaleta than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Aretxabaleta, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Ignacio than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for San Ignacio, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Aretxabaleta - San Ignacio Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
50', 🟥,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: ) and 8).

Aretxabaleta is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

San Ignacio has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

San Ignacio may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Aretxabaleta could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Aretxabaleta won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).

Including home match between the teams, Aretxabaleta won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UD Aretxabaleta
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
31.10.25	Derio - Aretxabaleta	1:0 ✺
26.10.25	Aretxabaleta - Touring KE	1:1 ✺
12.10.25	Aretxabaleta - Aurrerá de Vitoria	4:2 ✺
05.10.25	Leioa - Aretxabaleta	2:4 ✺
27.09.25	Aretxabaleta - Eibar C	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 LTWWW
- Club San Ignacio
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
02.11.25	San Ignacio - Zamudio	2:0 ✺
26.10.25	Santurtzi - San Ignacio	1:0 ✺
19.10.25	San Ignacio - Real Sociedad C	2:3 ✺
11.10.25	Pasaia - San Ignacio	1:1 ✺
27.09.25	Deusto - San Ignacio	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
16.02.25	San Ignacio - Aretxabaleta	4:1
06.10.24	Aretxabaleta - San Ignacio	1:0

Aretxabaleta - San Ignacio: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide