The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Argentino de Quilmes 34.6%
Draw 30.8%
Acassuso 34.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.2%
31.6%
27.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.5%
31%
27.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Argentino de Quilmes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Argentino de Quilmes's form might have worsened.
Acassuso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Acassuso's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Argentino de Quilmes than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Argentino de Quilmes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Acassuso than the current prediction. (-6.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Acassuso, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
0%
50%
Argentino de Quilmes - Acassuso Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Argentino de Quilmes will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Acassuso will win (votes: 2 - 50%).
1. Tello Cabrera A. N. (G) 4. Escudero L. 2. Cosciuc F. 6. Nunez D. 3. Rodriguez M. 5. Vega M. 7. Alfonso S. 8. Di Marco V. 11. Guzman M. 9. Torancio E. 10. Ortiz A.
1. Dominguez J. (G) 4. Ponce J. 2. Penalva V. 6. Ghiraldello J. 3. Ortolani F. 8. Dubini K. 5. Santaliz T. 11. Samudio D. 7. Scacchi S. 10. Gonzalez B. 9. Senn F.
Substitutes
12. Busto F. (G) 14. Castano S. 18. Centurion F. 15. Martin A. 16. Molina J. 20. Stable F. 13. Zabatta L.
12. Bogace S. 14. Dordoni B. 19. Francisco Lara Marin 20. Gomez Y. 13. Pioli L. 17. Raccio J. 18. Rey L. 16. Robles E. 15. Ruiz A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Torancio E. ⚽,
28', 2 - 0, Torancio E. ⚽,
44', Nunez D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Samudio D. ↓, Rey L. ↑,
50', Rodriguez M. 🟨,
62', Rey L. 🟨,
64', Escudero L. 🟨,
66', Gonzalez B. ↓, Gomez Y. ↑,
71', Ortiz A. ↓, Molina J. ↑,
79', Scacchi S. ↓, Raccio J. ↑,
79', Ortolani F. ↓, Ruiz A. ↑,
81', Rodriguez M. ↓, Martin A. ↑,
81', Di Marco V. ↓, Centurion F. ↑,
89', Tello Cabrera A. N. ↓, Busto F. ↑,
89', Torancio E. ↓, Sarco N. ↑,
90', Senn F. ↓, Francisco Lara Marin ↑,
90+2', Ruiz A. 🟨,
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 and 12).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Argentino de Quilmes won 3.
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Argentino de Quilmes may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Argentino de Quilmes is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Argentino de Quilmes won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:16. (average 1.2:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Argentino de Quilmes won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:4. (average 1.3:0.7).
Last Results with these Odds
Acassuso - the odds 3.36 are the expected chance of winning is 27.23%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.
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