Match Info

Primera B - Clausura - Round 15

Date: 27 September 2025, Saturday


	Fénix		Argentino de Quilmes

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.05	2
	3.91	2.99	2.02
	7.43	5.05	1.33	Watch
	3.71	3.1	2.04
	3	2.85	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.36 ↑ (3.1)	3.41 ↑ (3.23)	1.94 ↓ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fénix
22.1%

Draw
28.2%

Argentino de Quilmes
49.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.2%

29%

40.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.5%

27.4%

43.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fénix has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fénix's form might have worsened.

Argentino de Quilmes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Argentino de Quilmes's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fénix than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fénix, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Argentino de Quilmes than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Argentino de Quilmes, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Fénix - Argentino de Quilmes Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Argentino de Quilmes (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Parra V. (G) 4. Martin Pereyra S. 2. Ferro G. 6. Rodriguez J. 3. Lugo K. 8. Sanchez E. 5. Nizzo M. 7. Ahumada I. 11. Breccia R. 9. Meridione A. 10. Perez P.	1. Tello Cabrera A. N. (G) 4. Escudero L. 2. Cosciuc F. 6. Velozo G. 3. Nunez T. 8. Guzman L. 5. Alfonso S. 7. Filosa L. 10. Molina J. 9. Torancio E. 11. Guzman M.
Substitutes
. Cordero R. (G) . Diaz F. . Gomez R. . Maria M. . Medina G. . Perez F. . Rojas I. . Vivas J. . Zeoliti T.	. Busto F. (G) . Centurion F. . Di Marco V. . Filliol F. . Gomez M. . Maidana C. . Nunez C. . Ortiz A. . Rebecchi L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Guzman L. (Pen),
22', Torancio E. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Sanchez E. ↓, Zeoliti T. ↑,
57', 1 - 1, Zeoliti T. ⚽,
58', Molina J. ↓, Di Marco V. ↑,
71', 🟨,
73', 🟨,
79', 2 - 1, Perez P. ⚽,
86', 3 - 1, Perez F. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fénix won 1.

Fénix is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Argentino de Quilmes has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Argentino de Quilmes will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Fénix won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 9:14. (average 1:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Fénix won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 1:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Fénix Buenos Aires
Argentinian Primera B
19.09.25	Villa Dálmine - Fénix	1:0 ✺
13.09.25	Fénix - Deportivo Flandria	0:2 ✺
30.08.25	Deportivo Laferrere - Fénix	1:1 ✺
24.08.25	Fénix - Liniers	1:1 ✺
17.08.25	Comunicaciones - Fénix	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LLTTL
- Argentino de Quilmes
Argentinian Primera B
19.09.25	Argentino de Quilmes - Deportivo Laferrere	0:0 ✺
14.09.25	Liniers - Argentino de Quilmes	3:2 ✺
05.09.25	Argentino de Quilmes - Comunicaciones	2:3 ✺
30.08.25	Deportivo Armenio - Argentino de Quilmes	1:2 ✺
22.08.25	Argentino de Quilmes - San Martín de Burzaco	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 TLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
11.05.25	Argentino de Quilmes - Fénix	3:0
22.07.24	Fénix - Argentino de Quilmes	1:2
02.03.24	Argentino de Quilmes - Fénix	1:1
01.10.23	Argentino de Quilmes - Fénix	2:1
30.05.23	Fénix - Argentino de Quilmes	1:0
20.08.22	Fénix - Argentino de Quilmes	1:2
23.04.22	Argentino de Quilmes - Fénix	2:2

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