The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportivo Laferrere 29.8%
Draw 33.6%
Acassuso 36.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.6%
30.1%
30.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41%
29.1%
29.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Laferrere has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportivo Laferrere's form might have worsened.
Acassuso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Acassuso's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Laferrere than the current prediction. (+11.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo Laferrere, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Acassuso than the current prediction. (-7.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Acassuso, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DC - Deportivo Laferrere (1.29) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Deportivo Laferrere (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Morel C. (G) 4. Real F. 2. Gomez F. 6. Paulides A. 3. Mamani L. 8. Cantero M. 5. Vivas N. 10. Goberville L. 11. Ortiz F. 7. Lucero A. 9. Baez B.
1. Tursi F. (G) 4. Etcheverri R. 2. Pioli L. 6. Ghiraldello J. 3. Ruiz A. 11. Habib T. 5. De Stefano D. 8. Dubini K. 10. Hermoso A. 7. Rey L. 9. Escalante D.
Substitutes
14. Aquino S. 15. Benitez M. 13. Cardozo D. 16. Digion R. 19. Espeche A. 18. Hernandez R. 17. More I. 12. Motta V. (G) 20. Rodriguez E.
12. Dominguez J. (G) 16. Gonzalez B. 20. Hernandez B. 18. Mino B. 13. Penalva V. 17. Raccio J. 15. Robles E. 19. Scacchi S. 14. Serrizuela J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Habib T. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Mamani L. ↓, Aquino S. ↑,
46', Lucero A. ↓, Hernandez R. ↑,
62', De Stefano D. ↓, Robles E. ↑,
62', Gomez F. ↓, Cardozo D. ↑,
62', Goberville L. ↓, More I. ↑,
65', Habib T. ↓, Mino B. ↑,
69', 1 - 1, Baez B. (Pen),
74', Hermoso A. ↓, Raccio J. ↑,
74', Ghiraldello J. 🟨,
83', Aquino S. 🟨,
84', 2 - 1, Ortiz F. ⚽,
90+2', Etcheverri R. 🟨,
Preview
One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 7 and 16).
Deportivo Laferrere has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Acassuso has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Deportivo Laferrere is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Laferrere won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.7).
Including home match between the teams, Deportivo Laferrere won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
Last Results with these Odds
Deportivo Laferrere - the odds 2.33 are the expected chance of winning is 39.59%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.
Acassuso - the odds 3.04 are the expected chance of winning is 30.28%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.
Argentina
Watch
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Morel C. (G) 
Hernandez R. 
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