The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Argentino de Quilmes 41.6%
Draw 31.5%
Liniers 26.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.6%
30.8%
29.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.4%
29.1%
31.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Argentino de Quilmes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
Liniers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Argentino de Quilmes than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liniers than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
Argentino de Quilmes - Liniers Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Yzaurralde N. (G) 14. Barreto R. 3. Benavidez N. 10. Filosa L. 16. Lando F. 7. Martinez J. 9. Oyarzun D. 2. Poza A. 11. Quattrocchi J. 5. Vega M. 6. Zarate E.
1. De Feliche C. (G) 4. Di Motta R. (C) 3. Fiordeliso M. 2. Formichelli S. 10. Gallegos E. 9. Gauna B. 11. Gridel M. 8. Palacio S. 6. Pereyra E. 7. Rodriguez C. 5. Roth J.
Substitutes
17. Ceccotti M. 12. Cheppi G. (G) 20. Compagnucci M. 13. Cosciuc F. 15. Diez E. 4. Filliol F. 8. Guzman L. 18. Martin A. . Pena D.
18. Auzqui D. 17. Camejo F. 16. Camejo J. 13. Canosa J. 19. Coria T. 15. Fernandez G. 20. Linas M. 14. Rodon F. 12. Rotundo M. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
45+1', 1 - 0, Vega M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Lando F. ↓, Filliol F. ↑,
51', 🟨,
54', Vega M. ↓, Martin A. ↑,
55', Quattrocchi J. ↓, Guzman L. ↑,
57', 🟨,
59', 1 - 1, Rodriguez C. ⚽,
60', Palacio S. ↓, Camejo F. ↑,
60', Gauna B. ↓, Auzqui D. ↑,
66', 1 - 2, Camejo F. ⚽,
69', Fiordeliso M. ↓, Rodon F. ↑,
69', Pereyra E. ↓, Canosa J. ↑,
90+3', 🟨,
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 16 and 13).
Argentino de Quilmes has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Liniers has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Argentino de Quilmes could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Argentino de Quilmes won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1.5:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Argentino de Quilmes won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
16
Argentino de Quilmes
38
9
16
13
30:37
-7
43
17
Liniers
38
10
13
15
31:39
-8
43
Last Results with these Odds
Argentino de Quilmes - the odds 2.31 are the expected chance of winning is 39.6%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.