The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Real Pilar 47.4%
Draw 30%
Argentino de Quilmes 22.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
49.5%
29.9%
20.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50.9%
29.1%
20%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Real Pilar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
Argentino de Quilmes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Pilar than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Argentino de Quilmes than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
Real Pilar - Argentino de Quilmes Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Perafan P. (G) 6. Abre F. 8. Aguilar R. 10. Blanco S. 11. Crocco M. (C) 3. Franco E. 2. Govi G. 4. Leguiza D. 7. Mancini V. 9. Riquelme M. D. 5. Rojas M.
1. Yzaurralde N. (G) 3. Benavidez N. 4. Filliol F. 10. Filosa L. 8. Guzman L. 7. Martinez J. 9. Oyarzun D. 2. Poza A. 11. Quattrocchi J. 5. Vega M. (C) 6. Zarate E.
Substitutes
13. Achucarro D. 16. Cesar J. 17. Chambi L. 15. Escurra N. 20. Gonzalez D. 19. Martinez F. 18. Moran J. 14. Pansardi F. 12. Sanchez S. (G)
14. Barreto R. 17. Ceccotti M. 12. Cheppi G. (G) 20. Compagnucci M. 13. Cosciuc F. 15. Diez E. 19. Gomez M. 16. Lando F. 18. Pena D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
7', Martinez J. 🟨,
45+2', 0 - 1, Oyarzun D. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Aguilar R. ↓, Cesar J. ↑,
46', Blanco S. ↓, Martinez F. ↑,
47', Abre F. ↓, Achucarro D. ↑,
57', Crocco M. ↓, Chambi L. ↑,
63', 1 - 1, Achucarro D. ⚽,
64', 1 - 2, Benavidez N. ⚽,
65', Quattrocchi J. ↓, Barreto R. ↑,
69', 2 - 2, Riquelme M. D. ⚽,
70', Guzman L. ↓, Ceccotti M. ↑,
70', Benavidez N. ↓, Diez E. ↑,
77', Martinez F. 🟨,
77', 3 - 2, Martinez F. ⚽,
79', Filliol F. ↓, Lando F. ↑,
81', Mancini V. ↓, Escurra N. ↑,
90+1', Escurra N. 🟨,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 15).
The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
Argentino de Quilmes may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Real Pilar is considered a favorite.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Real Pilar won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
Including home match between the teams, Real Pilar won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.