The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Liniers 38.9%
Draw 31.8%
Defensores Unidos 29.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
41.6%
31.1%
27.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.5%
26.5%
32%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Liniers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
Defensores Unidos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liniers than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defensores Unidos than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
25%
25%
Liniers - Defensores Unidos Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Liniers will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Defensores Unidos will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. De Feliche C. (G) 4. Di Motta R. 2. Formichelli S. 6. Lugarzo L. 3. Pereyra E. 8. Gridel M. 5. Roth J. 10. Gallegos E. 11. Rodriguez C. 7. Camejo F. 9. Gauna B.
1. Henricot F. (G) 4. Baigorria A. 2. Lopez J. 6. Suarez F. 3. Olivera L. 8. Sosa A. 5. Redondo K. 10. Gimenez M. 11. Patroni S. 7. Girard T. 9. Carboni B.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Gridel M. ⚽,
8', Formichelli S. 🟨,
29', Carboni B. ↓, Lopez M. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Sosa A. ↓, Tello H. ↑,
48', Roth J. 🟨,
54', 1 - 1, Girard T. ⚽,
55', Girard T. 🟨,
59', Girard T. ↓, Sombra A. ↑,
61', Gauna B. ↓, Linas M. ↑,
61', Rodriguez C. ↓, Sallaberry I. ↑,
64', Pereyra E. 🟨,
66', Gridel M. ↓, Palacio S. ↑,
66', Gallegos E. ↓, Auzqui D. ↑,
81', Bouvier J. 🟨,
81', Patroni S. ↓, Figueroa F. ↑,
82', Pereyra E. ↓, Fiordeliso M. ↑,
90+5', Auzqui D. 🟨,
Preview
A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 13 and 21 in the zone Relegation ~ Primera C (Apertura: )).
Both teams are currently in poor form.
Defensores Unidos may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Liniers will hold a modest advantage in this match.
The teams have not played against each other recently.
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
17
Liniers
38
10
13
15
31:39
-8
43
18
Defensores Unidos
38
9
14
15
33:39
-6
41
Last Results with these Odds
Liniers - the odds 2.2 are the expected chance of winning is 41.58%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.