Match Info

Primera C - Round 11

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio José Martín Olaeta (Rosario)


	Argentino de Rosario		Victoriano Arenas

	1	X	2
	1.93	2.85	3.9
	2.58	2.72	2.82	Watch
	2.52	2.8	2.7
	2.58	2.85	2.82	Watch
	2.5	2.7	2.8
	2.5	2.83	2.78	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↑ (1.92)	2.79 ↓ (2.92)	2.97 ↓ (4.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Argentino de Rosario
37.1%

Draw
32.4%

Victoriano Arenas
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.3%

31.1%

21.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.6%

32.6%

20.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Argentino de Rosario has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Argentino de Rosario's form might have worsened.

Victoriano Arenas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Victoriano Arenas's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Argentino de Rosario than the current prediction. (+12.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Argentino de Rosario, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Victoriano Arenas than the current prediction. (-9.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Victoriano Arenas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Argentino de Rosario - Victoriano Arenas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
40', 0 - 1, Soria S. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
77', 1 - 1, Andrada J. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Argentino de Rosario won 4.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Argentino de Rosario is a strong favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Argentino de Rosario won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 12:4. (average 1.7:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Argentino de Rosario won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 1.3:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Argentino de Rosario
Argentinian Primera C
04.05.26	Centro Español - Argentino de Rosario	3:2 ✺
25.04.26	Argentino de Rosario - Justo José de Urquiza	1:1 ✺
18.04.26	Argentino de Rosario - Atlas General Rodríguez	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	Mercedes - Argentino de Rosario	1:0 ✺
05.04.26	Argentino de Rosario - Deportivo Paraguayo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LTTLW
- Victoriano Arenas
Argentinian Primera C
03.05.26	Victoriano Arenas - Estrella del Sur	3:0 ✺
26.04.26	Berazategui - Victoriano Arenas	2:3 ✺
18.04.26	General Lamadrid - Victoriano Arenas	1:0 ✺
12.04.26	Victoriano Arenas - Lugano	0:0 ✺
03.04.26	Victoriano Arenas - Centro Español	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.5 WWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera C
21.06.25	Argentino de Rosario - Victoriano Arenas	1:0
09.03.25	Victoriano Arenas - Argentino de Rosario	1:2
11.09.24	Victoriano Arenas - Argentino de Rosario	1:3
11.04.24	Argentino de Rosario - Victoriano Arenas	1:1
Argentinian Primera D
16.05.18	Victoriano Arenas - Argentino de Rosario	1:2
09.12.17	Argentino de Rosario - Victoriano Arenas	1:0
02.04.17	Argentino de Rosario - Victoriano Arenas	2:0

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