Match Info

Primera C - Round 7

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Saturnino Moure (Avellaneda)


	Victoriano Arenas		Lugano

	1	X	2
	2.38	2.78	3
	2.37	2.67	3.15
	2.41	2.75	3.19	Watch
	2.45	2.63	3
	2.45	2.92	3.13
	2.68	2.8	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↓ (2.68)	2.76 ↓ (2.81)	3.01 ↑ (2.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Victoriano Arenas
37%

Draw
32.9%

Lugano
30.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.6%

32%

34.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.3%

33.3%

35.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Victoriano Arenas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Lugano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Victoriano Arenas than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugano than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lugano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Victoriano Arenas - Lugano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Lugano may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Victoriano Arenas won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Victoriano Arenas won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Victoriano Arenas - the odds 2.68 are the expected chance of winning is 33.57%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Lugano - the odds 2.61 are the expected chance of winning is 34.41%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Victoriano Arenas
Argentinian Primera C
03.04.26	Victoriano Arenas - Centro Español	0:0 ✺
28.03.26	Justo José de Urquiza - Victoriano Arenas	1:0 ✺
23.03.26	Victoriano Arenas - Deportivo Español	0:0 ✺
14.03.26	Victoriano Arenas - Mercedes	1:0 ✺
28.02.26	Deportivo Paraguayo - Victoriano Arenas	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 TLTWW
- CA Lugano
Argentinian Primera C
08.04.26	Sportivo Barracas - Lugano	3:0 ✺
04.04.26	Lugano - Defensores de Cambaceres	1:2 ✺
30.03.26	Centro Español - Lugano	1:3 ✺
14.03.26	Lugano - Juventud Unida de San Miguel	0:0 ✺
28.02.26	Justo José de Urquiza - Lugano	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 LLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera C
13.07.24	Lugano - Victoriano Arenas	0:0
10.02.24	Victoriano Arenas - Lugano	2:1

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