Match Info

Reserve League - Apertura - Round 11

Date: 29 April 2026, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	HBO Max, TNT Sports, TNT Sports Premium


	Argentinos Juniors 2		Vélez Sársfield 2

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.72	2.88	2.52
	2.89	2.96	2.79
	2.77	2.84	2.68	Watch
	2.63	2.8	2.5
	2.82	3	2.63
	3	3.15	2.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.81 ↓ (3)	2.94 ↓ (3.15)	2.54 ↑ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Argentinos Juniors 2
32.7%

Draw
31.2%

Vélez Sársfield 2
36.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.7%

28.3%

42%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.6%

28.2%

42.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Argentinos Juniors 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Vélez Sársfield 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vélez Sársfield 2 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Argentinos Juniors 2 than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vélez Sársfield 2 than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vélez Sársfield 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Argentinos Juniors 2 - Vélez Sársfield 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
34', 1 - 0, ⚽,
45', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Reserve League (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Argentinos Juniors 2 won 1.

Recent performances by Argentinos Juniors 2 have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Vélez 2 is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Vélez 2 will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Argentinos Juniors 2 won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:7. (average 0.8:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Argentinos Juniors 2 won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Argentinos Juniors 2
Argentinian Reserve League
23.04.26	Platense 2 - Argentinos Juniors 2	2:0 ✺
16.04.26	River Plate 2 - Argentinos Juniors 2	0:0 ✺
09.04.26	Argentinos Juniors 2 - Racing Club 2	1:0 ✺
03.04.26	Sarmiento de Junín 2 - Argentinos Juniors 2	0:1 ✺
25.03.26	Argentinos Juniors 2 - Instituto 2	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LTWWL
- Vélez Sársfield 2
Argentinian Reserve League
22.04.26	Ferro 2 - Vélez Sársfield 2	1:2 ✺
15.04.26	Vélez Sársfield 2 - Aldosivi 2	4:0 ✺
08.04.26	Gimnasia La Plata 2 - Vélez Sársfield 2	0:1 ✺
01.04.26	Vélez Sársfield 2 - Unión Santa Fe 2	4:0 ✺
26.03.26	Atlético Tucumán 2 - Vélez Sársfield 2	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Reserve League
22.08.24	Argentinos Juniors 2 - Vélez Sársfield 2	1:0
22.03.24	Vélez Sársfield 2 - Argentinos Juniors 2	1:1
02.11.23	Vélez Sársfield 2 - Argentinos Juniors 2	0:0
09.06.23	Argentinos Juniors 2 - Vélez Sársfield 2	0:0
21.10.22	Vélez Sársfield 2 - Argentinos Juniors 2	3:0
20.03.22	Argentinos Juniors 2 - Vélez Sársfield 2	3:3

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