Match Info

Ligue 2 - Round 11

Date: 30 November 2025, Sunday


	Ariana		Bouchamma

	1	X	2
	2.08	2.92	3.4
	2.06	3.03	3.44
	1.00	12.44	15.00	Watch
	2.09	2.98	3.48
	2.08	3	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (2.04)	4.87 ↑ (3.05)	5.76 ↑ (3.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Ariana
58.6%

Draw
22.4%

Bouchamma
18.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.6%

29.8%

25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7%

29.7%

25.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ariana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ariana's performance.

Bouchamma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bouchamma might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ariana than the current prediction. (-13.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ariana that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bouchamma than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bouchamma could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ariana - Bouchamma Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
2', 1 - 0, Boulaabi M. (Pen),
8', 1 - 1, Khairi M. ⚽,
12', 2 - 1, Jouini H. ⚽,
15', 3 - 1, Boulaabi M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
50', Abdeldayem A. 🟥,
85', Anas K. 🟥,
90+3', 3 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 11 and 10)

Ariana has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Bouchamma has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Ariana will hold a modest advantage in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Ariana
Tunisian Ligue 2
23.11.25	Sidi Bouzid - Ariana	1:0 ✺
16.11.25	Ariana - Korba	0:2 ✺
12.11.25	Stade Gabèsien - Ariana	2:1 ✺
08.11.25	Ariana - Jendouba Sport	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	Union Ksour Essef - Ariana	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLTL
- ES Bouchamma
Tunisian Ligue 2
23.11.25	Bouchamma - Jendouba Sport	1:1 ✺
16.11.25	Union Ksour Essef - Bouchamma	3:1 ✺
07.11.25	Bouchamma - Redeyef	2:2 ✺
26.10.25	Bouchamma - Djelma	2:1 ✺
22.10.25	Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer - Bouchamma	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 TLTWL

Ariana - Bouchamma: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide