Match Info

TUNISIA: Ligue 2 - Round 18

Date: 9 March 2025, Sunday


	Ariana		Hammam-Lif

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.25	4.6
	1.75	3.1	4.8
	1.78	3.1	4.55
				Watch
	1.69	3.24	5.04
	1.75	3.1	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↑ (1.72)	3.16 ↑ (3.1)	4.76 ↓ (5.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ariana
52.3%

Draw
28.7%

Hammam-Lif
19%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.9%

29.3%

17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52%

28.8%

18.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ariana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Hammam-Lif has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ariana than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hammam-Lif than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Ariana - Hammam Lif Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
54', 1 - 0, Jouini H. ⚽,
70', 1 - 1, Nacef R. ⚽,
76', Jouini H. 🟥,
89', 1 - 2, Kacem C. (Pen),

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 6 and 11).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Ariana could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Ariana have a series of guest games.

In this match Ariana is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Ariana won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:5 (average 1.3:1.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Ariana won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Ariana
Tunisian Ligue 2
02.03.25	Msaken - Ariana	0:0 ✺
22.02.25	Ariana - Kalaâ	5:2 ✺
16.02.25	El Makarem de Mahdia - Ariana	2:1 ✺
09.02.25	Hammam-Sousse - Ariana	0:2 ✺
Tunisian Cup
19.01.25	Sfax Railways - Ariana	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 TWLWL
- Hammam-Lif
Tunisian Ligue 2
01.03.25	Hammam-Lif - Korba	1:2 ✺
24.02.25	Radès - Hammam-Lif	0:0 ✺
15.02.25	Marsa - Hammam-Lif	1:1 ✺
08.02.25	Hammam-Lif - Msaken	1:0 ✺
Tunisian Cup
20.01.25	Hammam-Lif - Bouhajla	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 LTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Tunisian Ligue 2
17.11.24	Hammam-Lif - Ariana	1:1
10.03.24	Ariana - Hammam-Lif	2:1
05.11.23	Hammam-Lif - Ariana	3:1

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