The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
El Makarem de Mahdia 46.7%
Draw 29.8%
Ariana 23.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
54.1%
26.7%
19.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
57.1%
28.2%
18.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
El Makarem de Mahdia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that El Makarem de Mahdia's form might have worsened.
Ariana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Makarem de Mahdia than the current prediction. (+10.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for El Makarem de Mahdia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ariana than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ariana, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
El Makarem de Mahdia - Ariana Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Zaghdoud W. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
88', 1 - 1, Ibrahim M. ⚽,
90+2', Kouki H. 🟥,
90+4', 2 - 1, Chaouech B. ⚽,
Preview
This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 7 and 6).
EM Mahdia is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Ariana is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
In this match EM Mahdia is a favorite.
Last 1 head-to-head matches EM Mahdia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0