Match Info

TUNISIA: Ligue 2 - Round 15

Date: 15 February 2025, Saturday


	Marsa		Hammam-Lif

	1	X	2
	1.63	3	6.6
	1.64	2.69	8.02
	1.64	2.95	7.11	Watch
	1.53	3.4	6.25
	1.65	3.36	6.04
	1.63	3	6.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↑ (1.36)	3.07 ↓ (4.02)	6.77 ↓ (8.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marsa
56.6%

Draw
29.9%

Hammam-Lif
13.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67%

22.6%

10.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.5%

22.4%

10.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marsa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Marsa's form might have worsened.

Hammam-Lif has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marsa than the current prediction. (+10.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Marsa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hammam-Lif than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Marsa - Hammam Lif Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
30', Hamdi M. 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
56', 0 - 1, Nacef R. ⚽,
79', 1 - 1, Abdennebi N. ⚽,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue Professionnelle 1 and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Marsa won 2.

Marsa is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Hammam-Lif is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Marsa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Marsa is indisputable favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Marsa won 5 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 14:7 (average 1.2:0.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Marsa won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7:3 (average 1.2:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Marsa Tunisia
Tunisian Ligue 2
09.02.25	Marsa - Oued Ellil	2:0 ✺
Tunisian Cup
02.02.25	Sfax Railways - Marsa	3:2 ✺
Tunisian Ligue 2
04.01.25	Msaken - Marsa	0:0 ✺
28.12.24	Kalaâ - Marsa	0:3 ✺
24.12.24	Marsa - El Makarem de Mahdia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WLTWW
- Hammam-Lif
Tunisian Ligue 2
08.02.25	Hammam-Lif - Msaken	1:0 ✺
Tunisian Cup
20.01.25	Hammam-Lif - Bouhajla	1:0 ✺
Tunisian Ligue 2
04.01.25	Jendouba Sport - Hammam-Lif	1:1 ✺
29.12.24	Hammam-Lif - Moknine	1:3 ✺
24.12.24	Hammam-Sousse - Hammam-Lif	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Tunisian Ligue 2
27.10.24	Hammam-Lif - Marsa	0:0
Tunisian Ligue Professionnelle 1
21.05.17	Hammam-Lif - Marsa	0:1
01.04.17	Marsa - Hammam-Lif	2:2
24.12.16	Marsa - Hammam-Lif	2:0
22.10.16	Hammam-Lif - Marsa	1:1
23.04.16	Hammam-Lif - Marsa	1:1
20.11.15	Marsa - Hammam-Lif	1:0

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