Match Info

Ligue 2 - Round 16

Date: 31 January 2026, Saturday


	Ariana		Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer

	1	X	2
	3.2	2.82	2.25
	3.31	2.8	2.24
	3.31	2.89	2.25	Watch
	3.2	2.7	2.25
	3.34	2.81	2.24
	3.33	2.8	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.28 ↑ (2.74)	2.8 ↓ (3.06)	2.25 ↓ (2.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ariana
27.5%

Draw
32.2%

Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer
40.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.4%

29.9%

36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.2%

29.7%

36.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ariana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ariana's form might have worsened.

Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ariana than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ariana, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Ariana - Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
53', 1 - 0, El Fazai B. ⚽,
71', 1 - 1, Aloui Z. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 6 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue Professionnelle 1).

Ariana has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Progrès Sakiet is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ariana won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Including home match between the teams, Ariana won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Ariana
Tunisian Ligue 2
24.01.26	Kasserine - Ariana	2:0 ✺
17.01.26	Ariana - Kalaâ	1:0 ✺
Tunisian Cup
11.01.26	Ariana - Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer	0:1 ✺
Tunisian Ligue 2
14.12.25	Ariana - Moknine	3:0 ✺
07.12.25	EGS Gafsa - Ariana	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LWLWT
- Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer
Tunisian Ligue 2
24.01.26	Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer - Jendouba Sport	1:1 ✺
18.01.26	Union Ksour Essef - Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer	0:1 ✺
Tunisian Cup
11.01.26	Ariana - Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer	0:1 ✺
Tunisian Ligue 2
14.12.25	Redeyef - Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer	0:2 ✺
07.12.25	Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer - Stade Gabèsien	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 TWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Tunisian Cup
11.01.26	Ariana - Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer	0:1

Ariana - Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide