Match Info

Ligue 2 - Round 13

Date: 14 December 2025, Sunday


	Ariana		Moknine

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.35	4.25
	1.69	3.42	4.51
	1.69	3.55	4.54	Watch
	1.75	3.1	4.4
	1.72	3.34	4.54
	1.68	3.4	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.92)	3.36 ↑ (3.2)	4.5 ↑ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ariana
53%

Draw
26.9%

Moknine
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.5%

28.5%

24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.7%

28%

24.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ariana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ariana's performance.

Moknine has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ariana than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ariana that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moknine than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Ariana - Moknine Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ariana (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
25', 1 - 0, Meriah H. ⚽,
38', 2 - 0, Boulaabi M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
84', Othmane M. 🟥,
87', 3 - 0, Ouadani A. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 7 and 12).

Ariana is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Moknine has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Ariana will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ariana won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Including home match between the teams, Ariana won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Ariana
Tunisian Ligue 2
07.12.25	EGS Gafsa - Ariana	0:0 ✺
30.11.25	Ariana - Bouchamma	3:2 ✺
23.11.25	Sidi Bouzid - Ariana	1:0 ✺
16.11.25	Ariana - Korba	0:2 ✺
12.11.25	Stade Gabèsien - Ariana	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TWLLL
- SC Moknine
Tunisian Ligue 2
07.12.25	Moknine - Jendouba Sport	2:2 ✺
30.11.25	Union Ksour Essef - Moknine	4:2 ✺
23.11.25	Moknine - Redeyef	2:0 ✺
16.11.25	Stade Gabèsien - Moknine	4:1 ✺
07.11.25	Moknine - Djelma	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Tunisian Ligue 2
05.05.25	Moknine - Ariana	2:1
20.12.24	Ariana - Moknine	2:0

Ariana - Moknine: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide