Match Info

AFC Champions League 2 - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 11 February 2026, Wednesday

Location: Ashgabat Stadium (Ashgabat)

Where to Watch on TV:


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World	Onefootball


	Arkadag		Al-Nassr Riyadh

	1	X	2
				Watch
				Watch
	5.15	3.85	1.58
	6.51	3.91	1.51
	5	3.84	1.64	Watch
	5.5	3.4	1.53
	5.16	3.87	1.62	Watch
	5	3.75	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.39 ↓ (10.37)	3.77 ↓ (10.27)	1.58 ↑ (1.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arkadag
17.1%

Draw
24.5%

Al-Nassr Riyadh
58.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

8.9%

82%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arkadag has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arkadag's performance.

Al-Nassr Riyadh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-23.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Al-Nassr Riyadh might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
45.5%	9.1%	45.5%

Arkadag - Al Nassr Riyadh Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Arkadag will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Al-Nassr will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Arkadag: 16.1% – 74.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Arkadag (votes: 1 - 50%). Al-Nassr (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

EH -1 - Al-Nassr (2.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Arkadag (2.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1 - Arkadag (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Arkadag (votes: 3 - 60%). Al-Nassr (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Caryyev R. (G) 12. Mammedov Y. 2. Annagulyyev G. 4. Saparow M. (C) 20. Sapargulyyev A. 17. Beknazarow M. 13. Ballakow W. 27. Gurbanow Y. 10. Hojayew R. 77. Hydyrow S. 11. Durdyyew D.	24. Bento (G) 12. Boushal N. 4. Al Sharari N. 5. Al Amri A. (C) 83. Al Najdi S. 8. Abdulkareem H. 20. Angelo 19. Al Hassan A. 23. Yahya A. 9. Al Hamdan A. 29. Ghareeb A.
Substitutes
1. Ahallyyew R. (G) 19. Akmammedov B. 16. Ashirov S. 6. Ataev B. 88. Atayew A. 5. Byashimov A. 25. Charyyev I. 70. Dinyiew M. 71. Meredov D. 9. Myratberdiyev R. 23. Rejebov B. 8. Saparmammedow Y.	61. Al Buainain M. (G) 56. Al Ghamdi R. 18. Al Jaber A. 17. Al Khaibari A. 70. Aman A. 60. Haqawi S. 16. Maran M.
Coaches
Orazov M.	Jesus J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
19', 0 - 1, Al Hamdan A. ⚽, Angelo (A),
45+1', Ballakow W. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Abdulkareem H. ↓, Al Khaibari A. ↑,
58', Durdyyew D. ↓, Meredov D. ↑,
58', Hydyrow S. ↓, Myratberdiyev R. ↑,
58', Hojayew R. ↓, Atayew A. ↑,
70', Ballakow W. ↓, Byashimov A. ↑,
84', Gurbanow Y. ↓, Akmammedov B. ↑,
90', Yahya A. ↓, Al Ghamdi R. ↑,
90+1', Al Hamdan A. ↓, Maran M. ↑,

Preview

First leg.

Al-Nassr is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Arkadag may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Al-Nassr is the clear favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Arkadag
AFC Champions League 2
24.12.25	Arkadag - Al Khalidiah	1:0 ✺
26.11.25	Andijan - Arkadag	1:1 ✺
05.11.25	Arkadag - Al-Ahli Doha	1:1 ✺
22.10.25	Al-Ahli Doha - Arkadag	2:2 ✺
01.10.25	Al Khalidiah - Arkadag	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 WTTTL
- Al-Nassr Riyadh
Saudi Professional League
06.02.26	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Ittihad Jeddah	2:0 ✺
02.02.26	Al-Riyadh - Al-Nassr Riyadh	0:1 ✺
30.01.26	Al-Kholood - Al-Nassr Riyadh	0:3 ✺
26.01.26	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Taawoun	1:0 ✺
21.01.26	Damac - Al-Nassr Riyadh	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWWWW

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