Match Info

AFC Champions League 2 - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 11 February 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Ashgabat Stadium (Ashgabat) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	10:45	Disney+
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
Brazil	10:45	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	15:45	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Chile	10:45	Disney+
China	21:45	iQIYI
Colombia	08:45	Disney+
Finland	15:45	Veikkaus TV
Germany	14:45	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
India	19:15	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Indonesia	20:45	K-Vision, RCTI
Iran	17:15	IRIB Varzesh
Israel	15:45	Sport 3
Japan	22:45	DAZN Japan
Macao	21:45	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	21:45	Astro Arena Bola, Astro Go, Sooka
Mexico	07:45	Disney+, ESPN
Netherlands	14:45	Canal+, ESPN 3, ESPN
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN Norte
North Macedonia	14:45	TDM Desporto
Peru	08:45	Disney+
Russia	16:45	TV Start, TV Start Triumph
Switzerland	14:45	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Turkey	16:45	Spor Smart 1
Ukraine	15:45	Sport 1
Uruguay	10:45	Disney+
Venezuela	09:45	Disney+
Vietnam	20:45	TV 360
International	13:45	Onefootball


	Arkadag		Al-Nassr Riyadh

	1	X	2
				Watch
				Watch
	5.15	3.85	1.58
	6.51	3.91	1.51
	5	3.84	1.64	Watch
	5.5	3.4	1.53
	5.16	3.87	1.62	Watch
	5	3.75	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.39 ↓ (10.37)	3.77 ↓ (10.27)	1.58 ↑ (1.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arkadag
17.1%

Draw
24.5%

Al-Nassr Riyadh
58.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

8.9%

82%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arkadag has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arkadag's performance.

Al-Nassr Riyadh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-23.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Al-Nassr Riyadh might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
45.5%	9.1%	45.5%

Arkadag - Al Nassr Riyadh Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Arkadag will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Al-Nassr will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Arkadag: 16.1% – 74.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Arkadag (votes: 1 - 50%). Al-Nassr (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

EH -1 - Al-Nassr (2.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Arkadag (2.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1 - Arkadag (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Arkadag (votes: 3 - 60%). Al-Nassr (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Caryyev R. (G) 12. Mammedov Y. 2. Annagulyyev G. 4. Saparow M. (C) 20. Sapargulyyev A. 17. Beknazarow M. 13. Ballakow W. 27. Gurbanow Y. 10. Hojayew R. 77. Hydyrow S. 11. Durdyyew D.	24. Bento (G) 12. Boushal N. 4. Al Sharari N. 5. Al Amri A. (C) 83. Al Najdi S. 8. Abdulkareem H. 20. Angelo 19. Al Hassan A. 23. Yahya A. 9. Al Hamdan A. 29. Ghareeb A.
Substitutes
1. Ahallyyew R. (G) 19. Akmammedov B. 16. Ashirov S. 6. Ataev B. 88. Atayew A. 5. Byashimov A. 25. Charyyev I. 70. Dinyiew M. 71. Meredov D. 9. Myratberdiyev R. 23. Rejebov B. 8. Saparmammedow Y.	61. Al Buainain M. (G) 56. Al Ghamdi R. 18. Al Jaber A. 17. Al Khaibari A. 70. Aman A. 60. Haqawi S. 16. Maran M.
Coaches
Orazov M.	Jesus J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
19', 0 - 1, Al Hamdan A. ⚽, Angelo (A),
45+1', Ballakow W. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Abdulkareem H. ↓, Al Khaibari A. ↑,
58', Durdyyew D. ↓, Meredov D. ↑,
58', Hydyrow S. ↓, Myratberdiyev R. ↑,
58', Hojayew R. ↓, Atayew A. ↑,
70', Ballakow W. ↓, Byashimov A. ↑,
84', Gurbanow Y. ↓, Akmammedov B. ↑,
90', Yahya A. ↓, Al Ghamdi R. ↑,
90+1', Al Hamdan A. ↓, Maran M. ↑,

Preview

First leg.

Al-Nassr is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Arkadag may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Al-Nassr is the clear favorite.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Arkadag
AFC Champions League 2
24.12.25	Arkadag - Al Khalidiah	1:0 ✺
26.11.25	Andijan - Arkadag	1:1 ✺
05.11.25	Arkadag - Al-Ahli Doha	1:1 ✺
22.10.25	Al-Ahli Doha - Arkadag	2:2 ✺
01.10.25	Al Khalidiah - Arkadag	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 WTTTL
- Al-Nassr Riyadh
Saudi Professional League
06.02.26	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Ittihad Jeddah	2:0 ✺
02.02.26	Al-Riyadh - Al-Nassr Riyadh	0:1 ✺
30.01.26	Al-Kholood - Al-Nassr Riyadh	0:3 ✺
26.01.26	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Taawoun	1:0 ✺
21.01.26	Damac - Al-Nassr Riyadh	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWWWW

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