Match Info

Saudi Professional League - Round 17

Date: 21 January 2026, Wednesday

Location: Prince Sultan bin Abdul Aziz Stadium (Abha)

Where to Watch on TV:


Afghanistan	Meraj Sport
Africa	Azam Sports 3, Sporty TV, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football
Armenia	Setanta Sports 1
Asia	JACO Middle East
Australia	Channel 10
Austria	DAZN
Azerbaijan	Setanta Sports 1
Brazil	BandSports, Claro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
China	QQ Sports
Croatia	SportKlub 2
Europe	Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
France	DAZN France
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	DAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 9
Hungary	Spiler1 TV, TV2 Play Premium
India	FanCode, FanCode
Italy	Como TV, Sportitalia
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 1
Moldova	Setanta Sports 1
Mozambique	Startimes Mania
Poland	Polsat Sport Premium 1
Portugal	Sport TV2
Romania	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3
Saudi-arabia	Thmanyah App, Thmanyah
Slovenia	SportKlub 5
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones 4, Movistar Plus+
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 1
Thailand	True ID, True Premier Football 4
Turkey	S Sport+
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 1
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports Premium
Usa	Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports 2, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 1


	Damac		Al-Nassr Riyadh

	1	X	2
	11	6	1.18
	11	6.5	1.23
	11	6.5	1.2
	10.28	7.85	1.19	Watch
	9	6.5	1.18
	8.35	7	1.19	Watch
	12	6.5	1.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	10.38 ↓ (10.68)	6.69 ↓ (8.52)	1.2 ↑ (1.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Damac
8.9%

Draw
13.8%

Al-Nassr Riyadh
77.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

8.7%

10.9%

80.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Damac has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Al-Nassr Riyadh has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	20%	80%

Damac - Al Nassr Riyadh Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Al-Nassr will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - Damac (3.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Damac (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kewin (G) 12. Al Hawsawi S. 15. Harkass J. 3. Bedrane A. (C) 13. Al Obaid A. 7. Al Qahtani A. 26. Sharahili R. 2. Sylla M. 20. Al Anazi D. 90. Al Ghamdi H. 8. Vada V.	24. Bento (G) 2. Al Ghannam S. 3. Simakan M. 26. Martinez I. 96. Al Nasser S. 21. Coman K. 20. Angelo 11. Brozovic M. 29. Ghareeb A. 79. Joao Felix 7. Ronaldo C. (C)
Substitutes
6. Abdullah T. 33. Al Baqaawi M. (G) 23. Al Hassan J. 22. Al Khaibre A. R. 88. Al Samiri K. 11. Meite Y. 80. Naji Y. 21. Omar A. 5. Rabea H.	61. Al Buainain M. (G) 19. Al Hassan A. 18. Al Jaber A. 17. Al Khaibari A. 4. Al Sharari N. 70. Aman A. 12. Boushal N. 77. Camara H. 16. Maran M.
Coaches
Evangelista A.	Jesus J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Ghareeb A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Al Hawsawi S. ↓, Al Khaibre A. R. ↑,
50', 0 - 2, Ronaldo C. ⚽, Joao Felix (A),
58', Coman K. ↓, Al Khaibari A. ↑,
60', Al Ghamdi H. ↓, Meite Y. ↑,
60', Sharahili R. ↓, Naji Y. ↑,
68', 1 - 2, Harkass J. ⚽, Al Qahtani A. (A),
73', Al Nasser S. ↓, Boushal N. ↑,
80', Ghareeb A. 🟨,
82', Angelo 🟨,
85', Al Qahtani A. ↓, Al Samiri K. ↑,
87', Angelo ↓, Al Sharari N. ↑,
87', Ghareeb A. ↓, Al Hassan A. ↑,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Damac won 0.

Recent performances by Damac have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Al-Nassr has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Al-Nassr is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Damac won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 13:30. (average 1:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Damac won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:16. (average 1.1:2.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Al Nassr	8	6	1	1	19:7	12	19

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Damac FC
Saudi Professional League
17.01.26	Al-Feiha - Damac	1:1 ✺
13.01.26	Damac - Al-Ittihad Jeddah	1:1 ✺
09.01.26	Al-Khaleej - Damac	4:0 ✺
04.01.26	Damac - Al-Hilal	0:2 ✺
30.12.25	Al Akhdoud - Damac	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 TTLLW
- Al-Nassr Riyadh
Saudi Professional League
17.01.26	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Shabab Riyadh	3:2 ✺
12.01.26	Al-Hilal - Al-Nassr Riyadh	3:1 ✺
08.01.26	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Al-Qadisiya	1:2 ✺
02.01.26	Al-Ahli Jeddah - Al-Nassr Riyadh	3:2 ✺
30.12.25	Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Al-Nassr Riyadh	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Saudi Professional League
22.04.25	Damac - Al-Nassr Riyadh	2:3
29.11.24	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Damac	2:0
05.04.24	Damac - Al-Nassr Riyadh	0:1
21.10.23	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Damac	2:1
25.02.23	Damac - Al-Nassr Riyadh	0:3
10.09.22	Al-Nassr Riyadh - Damac	2:1
08.01.22	Damac - Al-Nassr Riyadh	0:2

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