Match Info

Euro U21 - Qualification

Date: 1 October 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: FFA Academy Stadium (Yerevan) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Polychronis F. (Gre)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Armenia	20:30	Fast Sports
Italy	18:30	RAI 2, RaiPlay


	Armenia U21		Italy U21

	1	X	2
				Watch
	26.00	14.00	1.05
	26.00	11.50	1.04	Watch
	26.95	17.62	1.05
	22	13	1.06	Watch
	25.00	17.00	1.03
	22.00	14.70	1.05	Watch
	23.00	9.40	1.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	24.42 ↑ (18.62)	13.89 ↑ (10.23)	1.04 ↓ (1.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Armenia U21
3.8%

Draw
6.7%

Italy U21
89.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

4.9%

8.9%

86.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Armenia U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Italy U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Armenia U21 - Italy U21 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Ghazaryan H. (G) BKMA 19. Tsarukyan S. Shirak Gyumri 5. Manukyan P. Urartu 3. Hakobyan A. Alaves 14. Krmzyan P. BKMA 21. Askaryan A. BKMA 10. Hakobyan D. Pyunik Yerevan 13. Sargsyan H. BKMA 11. Harutyunyan D. BKMA 9. Eloyan A. Ararat-Armenia 7. Hakobyan M. (C) Sardarapat	1. Palmisani L. (G) Frosinone 2. Favasuli C. Napoli 15. Comuzzo P. Torino 4. Chiarodia F. C. B. Monchengladbach 19. Moruzzi B. Avellino 21. Pisilli N. AS Roma 5. Lipani L. (C) Sassuolo 10. Ndour C. Fiorentina 17. Fini S. Frosinone 9. Camarda F. AC Milan 11. Koleosho L. Paris FC
Substitutes
17. Aleqyan P. 8. Ayvazyan M. Ararat-Armenia 1. Davtyan D. (G) FC Gandzasar 22. Davtyan D. BKMA 6. Dokhoyan D. BKMA 2. Khachatryan A. BKMA 23. Kirakosian D. 4. Sargsyan A. Sardarapat 18. Vardanyan E. Urartu	6. Calvani G. Frosinone 7. Cherubini L. Benevento 8. Cichella M. Frosinone 20. Cisse A. AC Milan 16. Faticanti G. Avellino 13. Fortini N. Torino 18. Liberali M. Como 22. Lulli E. AS Roma 12. Mascardi D. (G) Torino
Coaches
Gyulbudaghyants A.	Baldini S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
31', Pisilli N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Favasuli C. ↓, Lulli E. ↑,
46', Lipani L. ↓, Liberali M. ↑,
46', Fini S. ↓, Cisse A. ↑,
46', Sargsyan H. ↓, Ayvazyan M. ↑,
47', Moruzzi B. 🟨,
52', Moruzzi B. ↓, Fortini N. ↑,
61', Harutyunyan D. ↓, Davtyan D. ↑,
62', Hakobyan D. ↓, Kirakosian D. ↑,
69', Davtyan D. 🟨,
75', Hakobyan M. ↓, Aleqyan P. ↑,
75', Eloyan A. ↓, Vardanyan E. ↑,
77', Koleosho L. (Penalty Awarded),
79', Koleosho L. ↓, Cherubini L. ↑,
88', Cisse A. 🟨,
88', Hakobyan A. 🟨,
90+5', 0 - 1, Cisse A. ⚽, Comuzzo P. (A),

Preview

In this match, Italy U21 enters as the overwhelming favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Armenia U21 has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1:12 (averaging 0.3:4 goals per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Armenia U21
UEFA Euro U21
31.03.26	Armenia U21 - North Macedonia U21	0:2 ✺
18.11.25	Armenia U21 - Sweden U21	0:1 ✺
14.11.25	Armenia U21 - Montenegro U21	1:2 ✺
14.10.25	Italy U21 - Armenia U21	5:1 ✺
10.10.25	North Macedonia U21 - Armenia U21	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Italy U21
Friendly
08.06.26	Italy U21 - Albania U21	1:0 ✺
UEFA Euro U21
31.03.26	Sweden U21 - Italy U21	0:4 ✺
26.03.26	Italy U21 - North Macedonia U21	4:0 ✺
18.11.25	Montenegro U21 - Italy U21	1:4 ✺
14.11.25	Poland U21 - Italy U21	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Euro U21
14.10.25	Italy U21 - Armenia U21	5:1
19.11.19	Italy U21 - Armenia U21	6:0
14.10.19	Armenia U21 - Italy U21	0:1

Armenia U21 - Italy U21