Match Info

Euro U21 - Qualification

Date: 31 March 2026, Tuesday

Location: Boras Arena (Boras)

Referee: Bourdeaud'hui S. (Bel)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	V Sport Premium
Italy	RAI 2, RaiPlay
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV


	Sweden U21		Italy U21

	1	X	2
	4.25	4	1.75
	4.5	4.04	1.71
	4.46	4.09	1.68	Watch
	4	3.6	1.67
	4.23	3.82	1.74
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.29 ↑ (3.7)	3.91 ↑ (3.65)	1.71 ↓ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sweden U21
21.7%

Draw
23.8%

Italy U21
54.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

25.4%

25.7%

48.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sweden U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Italy U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Italy U21's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Sweden U21 - Italy U21 Predictions

Users Predictions: Italy U21 will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bishesari E. (G) IFK Goteborg 2. Skoglund H. Hammarby 3. Amoran P. Cesena 4. Zatterstrom N. Genoa 5. Tolf N. IFK Goteborg 7. Antwi G. Chelsea 6. Karlsson M. Hammarby 8. Bjorklund L. (C) Brommapojkarna 11. Sonko M. Gent 9. Omorowa R. Ol. Nicosia 10. Rafferty M. Degerfors	1. Palmisani L. (G) Frosinone 13. Kayode M. Brentford 6. Comuzzo P. Fiorentina 4. Chiarodia F. C. B. Monchengladbach 3. Bartesaghi D. AC Milan 10. Ndour C. Fiorentina 5. Lipani L. (C) Sassuolo 20. Dagasso M. Venezia 17. Fini S. Frosinone 18. Ekhator J. Genoa 11. Koleosho L. Paris FC
Substitutes
16. Boudri A. Los Angeles FC 20. Kanga J. Ilves 14. Kurtulus B. Malmo FF 19. Kusi Asare J. Fulham 13. Makolli E. Aalborg 17. Njie A. Torino 12. Picornell A. (G) Gil Vicente 18. Sjostrand O. Malmo FF 15. Thorell L. Mjallby	15. Ahanor H. Atalanta 21. Cacciamani A. Juve Stabia 22. Calvani G. Frosinone 7. Cherubini L. Sampdoria 12. Daffara G. (G) Avellino 16. Faticanti G. Juventus 2. Favasuli C. Catanzaro 9. Okoro A. Juve Stabia 8. Venturino L. AS Roma
Coaches
Backstrom D.	Baldini S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
19', 0 - 1, Koleosho L. (Penalty Awarded),
22', 0 - 2, Koleosho L. ⚽,
26', Chiarodia F. C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
50', 0 - 3, Ndour C. ⚽, Koleosho L. (A),
57', Fini S. ↓, Cherubini L. ↑,
57', Dagasso M. ↓, Venturino L. ↑,
59', Tolf N. ↓, Sjostrand O. ↑,
63', 0 - 4, Lipani L. ⚽, Bartesaghi D. (A),
64', Bartesaghi D. 🟨,
67', Sonko M. ↓, Njie A. ↑,
67', Rafferty M. ↓, Thorell L. ↑,
67', Omorowa R. ↓, Kusi Asare J. ↑,
68', Bartesaghi D. ↓, Ahanor H. ↑,
82', Ekhator J. ↓, Faticanti G. ↑,
82', Comuzzo P. ↓, Calvani G. ↑,
84', Karlsson M. ↓, Kanga J. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sweden U21 won 1.

In this match, Italy U21 is a strong favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Sweden U21 won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:15. (average 1.3:1.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sweden U21
UEFA Euro U21
27.03.26	Sweden U21 - Montenegro U21	2:2 ✺
18.11.25	Armenia U21 - Sweden U21	0:1 ✺
13.11.25	North Macedonia U21 - Sweden U21	1:4 ✺
14.10.25	Sweden U21 - Poland U21	0:6 ✺
10.10.25	Italy U21 - Sweden U21	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 TWWLL
- Italy U21
UEFA Euro U21
26.03.26	Italy U21 - North Macedonia U21	4:0 ✺
18.11.25	Montenegro U21 - Italy U21	1:4 ✺
14.11.25	Poland U21 - Italy U21	2:1 ✺
14.10.25	Italy U21 - Armenia U21	5:1 ✺
10.10.25	Italy U21 - Sweden U21	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Euro U21
10.10.25	Italy U21 - Sweden U21	4:0
09.06.22	Sweden U21 - Italy U21	1:1
12.10.21	Italy U21 - Sweden U21	1:1
18.11.20	Italy U21 - Sweden U21	4:1
08.09.20	Sweden U21 - Italy U21	3:0
18.06.15	Italy U21 - Sweden U21	1:2
16.10.12	Sweden U21 - Italy U21	2:3

Sweden U21 - Italy U21: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide