Match Info

Euro U21 - Qualification

Date: 14 November 2025, Friday

Location: Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera (Szczecin)

Referee: Bandic A. (Bih)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	RAI 2, RaiPlay
Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV


	Poland U21		Italy U21

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3	3.4	2.28
	3.19	3.3	2.35
	2.89	3.74	2.19	Watch
	3	3.26	2.31	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.02 ↑ (2.98)	3.43 ↓ (3.55)	2.28 ↑ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Poland U21
31.2%

Draw
27.5%

Italy U21
41.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.6%

26.5%

41.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Poland U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Italy U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
35.3%	11.8%	52.9%

Poland U21 - Italy U21 Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Poland U21 will win (votes: 6 - 35.3%). Italy U21 will win (votes: 9 - 52.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Italy U21: 29.2% – 76.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Poland U21 (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Italy U21 (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lubik M. (G) Gornik Zabrze 7. Nowak W. Wisla Plock 20. Kutwa M. Wisla 2. Drapinski I. Piast Gliwice 3. Gurgul M. Lech Poznan 15. Kocaba F. Zaglebie 6. Kozubal A. Lech Poznan 17. Pietuszewski O. Jagiellonia 16. Duda K. Wisla 10. Pienko T. (C) Rakow Czestochowa 21. Regula M. Zaglebie	1. Palmisani L. (G) Frosinone 2. Palestra M. Cagliari 4. Comuzzo P. Fiorentina 6. Mane F. Dortmund 13. Bartesaghi D. AC Milan 21. Pisilli N. AS Roma 5. Lipani L. (C) Sassuolo 20. Dagasso M. Pescara 10. Cherubini L. Sampdoria 9. Camarda F. Lecce 11. Koleosho L. Espanyol
Substitutes
9. Bogacz W. New York Red Bulls 19. Drachal D. Jagiellonia 18. Faberski J. Zwolle 8. Jakubczyk K. Arka Gdynia 14. Kuziemka M. Wisla 13. Luberecki F. Motor Lublin 23. Orlikowski I. Zaglebie 5. Potulski K. Mainz 12. Zych O. (G) Rakow Czestochowa	14. Berti T. Cesena 8. Cisse A. Catanzaro 16. Faticanti G. Juventus 17. Fini S. Genoa 19. Guarino G. Empoli 3. Idrissi R. Cagliari 12. Mascardi D. (G) Spezia 22. Moruzzi B. Empoli 7. Vavassori D. Atalanta
Coaches
Brzeczek J.	Baldini S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
14', Cherubini L. 🟨,
33', Bartesaghi D. 🟨,
43', Koleosho L. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
49', Duda K. 🟨,
51', Palestra M. 🟨,
61', 0 - 1, Pisilli N. ⚽, Koleosho L. (A),
61', Pietuszewski O. 🟨,
66', Kocaba F. ↓, Drachal D. ↑,
66', Regula M. ↓, Bogacz W. ↑,
74', Duda K. ↓, Faberski J. ↑,
75', Pietuszewski O. ↓, Kuziemka M. ↑,
75', Camarda F. ↓, Cisse A. ↑,
81', Nowak W. 🟨,
82', Pisilli N. ↓, Berti T. ↑,
83', 1 - 1, Bogacz W. ⚽, Faberski J. (A),
85', Lipani L. 🟨,
87', 2 - 1, Kuziemka M. ⚽,
90', Pienko T. ↓, Jakubczyk K. ↑,
90+1', Lubik M. 🟨,
90+5', Kozubal A. 🟨,
90+5', Koleosho L. 🟨,

Preview

Italy U21 will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Poland U21 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Poland U21
UEFA Euro U21
14.10.25	Sweden U21 - Poland U21	0:6 ✺
10.10.25	Poland U21 - Montenegro U21	2:0 ✺
09.09.25	Armenia U21 - Poland U21	0:4 ✺
05.09.25	Poland U21 - North Macedonia U21	3:0 ✺
17.06.25	France U21 - Poland U21	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WWWWL
- Italy U21
UEFA Euro U21
14.10.25	Italy U21 - Armenia U21	5:1 ✺
10.10.25	Italy U21 - Sweden U21	4:0 ✺
09.09.25	North Macedonia U21 - Italy U21	0:1 ✺
05.09.25	Italy U21 - Montenegro U21	2:1 ✺
22.06.25	Germany U21 - Italy U21	3:2 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Euro U21
19.06.19	Italy U21 - Poland U21	0:1
Friendly
23.03.17	Poland U21 - Italy U21	1:2

Poland U21 - Italy U21: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide