Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 2

Date: 16 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Schüco Arena (Bielefeld)

Referee: Lechner F. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Arminia Bielefeld		Energie Cottbus

	1	X	2
	1.55	4.33	5.5	Watch
	1.60	4.33	5.00
	1.52	4.25	5.1	Watch
	1.6	4.53	5.55
	1.63	4.27	4.9	Watch
	1.56	4.5	5.45
	1.56	4.35	5.53	Watch
	1.55	4.4	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.89)	4.37 ↑ (3.76)	5.28 ↑ (3.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arminia Bielefeld
60.3%

Draw
21.7%

Energie Cottbus
18%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.8%

25%

25.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50%

24.9%

25.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arminia Bielefeld has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arminia Bielefeld's performance.

Energie Cottbus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Energie Cottbus might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arminia Bielefeld than the current prediction. (-10.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arminia Bielefeld that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Energie Cottbus than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Energie Cottbus could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Arminia Bielefeld - Energie Cottbus Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Cottbus (2.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cottbus (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kersken J. (G) 7. Koudossou H. 5. Bauer M. (C) 19. Grosser M. 17. Sicker A. 6. Mehlem M. 21. Russo S. 38. Worl M. 14. Momuluh M. 11. Grodowski J. 10. Rochelt J.	1. Lotka M. (G) 3. Rorig H. 5. Pelivan D. 21. Erlein L. 23. Doumbia F. 10. Cigerci T. (C) 32. Bittencourt L. 8. Michelbrink L. 17. Guttau J. 7. Kinsombi C. 9. Copado L.
Substitutes
27. Boakye B. 3. Felix J. 29. Handwerker T. 47. Hildesheim P. (G) 18. Oppermann L. (G) 8. Schreck S. 28. Uldrikis R. 42. Wegener T. 30. Young I.	20. Borgmann A. 31. Butler J. 4. Campulka T. 11. Hannemann M. 6. Hofmann J. 29. Kratzsch K. (G) 16. Malone R. 22. Wardak Y. 42. Zaydan J.
Coaches
Kirch O.	Wollitz C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
26', 1 - 0, Grodowski J. ⚽, Koudossou H. (A),
27', Rorig H. 🟨,
37', 2 - 0, Grodowski J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Guttau J. ↓, Butler J. ↑,
46', Kinsombi C. ↓, Hannemann M. ↑,
55', Doumbia F. ↓, Borgmann A. ↑,
59', Momuluh M. ↓, Boakye B. ↑,
60', Worl M. ↓, Schreck S. ↑,
69', Mehlem M. ↓, Young I. ↑,
75', Rorig H. ↓, Malone R. ↑,
75', Michelbrink L. ↓, Campulka T. ↑,
76', 3 - 0, Grodowski J. (Penalty Awarded),
78', Butler J. 🟨,
78', Boakye B. 🟨,
82', Sicker A. ↓, Handwerker T. ↑,
82', Rochelt J. ↓, Felix J. ↑,
85', Handwerker T. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arminia won 2.

Arminia is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Cottbus has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Arminia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Arminia has had a series of away games.

In this match, Arminia is the team to beat.

There will not play in Arminia: Schneider L. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Cottbus: Engelhardt E. (Knee Injury) Malone R. (Injury)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Arminia won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:11. (average 1.5:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Arminia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).

Outrights of German 2 Bundesliga for now

Arminia Bielefeld: 0.89%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Cottbus	7	2	2	3	15:16	-1	8
15	Arminia Bielefeld	6	1	2	3	10:12	-2	5

Last Results with these Odds

Arminia Bielefeld - the odds 1.89 are the expected chance of winning is 49.82%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arminia Bielefeld
German 2 Bundesliga
08.08.26	Karlsruher - Arminia Bielefeld	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
25.07.26	Arminia Bielefeld - Duisburg	1:1 ✺
18.07.26	Bologna - Arminia Bielefeld	0:4 ✺
14.07.26	Imst - Arminia Bielefeld	0:10 ✺
08.07.26	Gütersloh - Arminia Bielefeld	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LTWWW
- Energie Cottbus
German 2 Bundesliga
09.08.26	Energie Cottbus - Hannover	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Energie Cottbus - Werder Bremen	2:4 ✺
25.07.26	Dynamo Dresden - Energie Cottbus	2:1 ✺
25.07.26	Dynamo Dresden - Energie Cottbus	1:2 ✺
15.07.26	Energie Cottbus - Mladá Boleslav	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
18.01.25	Arminia Bielefeld - Energie Cottbus	0:2
04.08.24	Energie Cottbus - Arminia Bielefeld	1:2
04.04.15	Arminia Bielefeld - Energie Cottbus	3:0
28.09.14	Energie Cottbus - Arminia Bielefeld	1:1
German 2 Bundesliga
23.03.14	Arminia Bielefeld - Energie Cottbus	1:3
27.09.13	Energie Cottbus - Arminia Bielefeld	4:2

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