Match Info

GERMANY: 3. Liga - Round 28

Date: 11 March 2025, Tuesday

Location: Schüco Arena (Bielefeld)

Referee: Heft F. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Sportklub 6
Croatia	SportKlub 6
Germany	DFB Play, Magenta Sport, tv.dfb.de
Montenegro	Sportklub 6
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO, Sportklub 6
Serbia	SportKlub 6
Slovenia	SportKlub 6
Usa	ESPN 3, ESPN App
World	Onefootball


	Arminia Bielefeld		Saarbrücken

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.3	3.3
	2.35	3.3	2.87
	2.18	3.3	3.25
	2.23	3.36	3.49
	2.16	3.26	3.38	Watch
	2.21	3.2	3.16
	2.18	3.3	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↓ (2.37)	3.29 ↓ (3.33)	3.24 ↑ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arminia Bielefeld
42.6%

Draw
28.5%

Saarbrücken
28.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.5%

28.1%

32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

28.5%

33%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arminia Bielefeld has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Saarbrücken has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arminia Bielefeld than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Saarbrücken than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	28.6%	14.3%

Arminia Bielefeld - Saarbrücken Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Arminia will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). Saarbrücken will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Arminia: 31.2% – 83%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kersken J. (G) 2. Hagmann F. 24. Lannert C. (C) 23. Schneider L. 4. Oppie L. 8. Schreck S. 21. Russo S. 30. Young I. 38. Worl M. 7. Kania J. 11. Grodowski J.	13. Menzel P. (C) 2. Fahrner P. 17. Becker D. 27. Bichsel J. 7. Rizzuto C. 6. Sontheimer P. 19. Vasiliadis S. 23. Civeja T. 11. Multhaup M. 29. Kruger F. 22. Stehle S. F.
Substitutes
17. Biankadi M. 10. Boujellab N. 3. Felix J. 13. Kunze L. 36. Lukas J. 18. Oppermann L. (G) 43. Richter D. 37. Sarenren Bazee N. J. 22. Schroers M.	21. Gourichy C. 20. Gunther-Schmidt J. 5. Krahn E. 1. Paterok T. (G) 10. Rabihic K. 39. Schmidt P. 4. Sonnenberg S. 18. Wilhelm L. 8. Zeitz M.
Coaches
Kniat M.	Ziehl R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Civeja T. ⚽, Multhaup M. (A),
8', 1 - 1, Kania J. ⚽, Schreck S. (A),
26', 2 - 1, Kania J. ⚽, Grodowski J. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', Civeja T. 🟨,
56', Stehle S. F. 🟨,
60', Vasiliadis S. 🟨,
65', Civeja T. ↓, Schmidt P. ↑,
65', Stehle S. F. ↓, Rabihic K. ↑,
65', Vasiliadis S. ↓, Krahn E. ↑,
68', Young I. ↓, Kunze L. ↑,
75', Kruger F. ↓, Gourichy C. ↑,
82', Hagmann F. 🟨,
84', 3 - 1, Hagmann F. ⚽, Worl M. (A),
85', Grodowski J. ↓, Boujellab N. ↑,
85', Multhaup M. ↓, Gunther-Schmidt J. ↑,
88', Bichsel J. 🟨,
90+2', Kania J. ↓, Biankadi M. ↑,
90+2', Hagmann F. ↓, Schroers M. ↑,
90+2', Worl M. ↓, Richter D. ↑,

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 4 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Arminia won 2.

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

Arminia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

There will not play in Arminia: Corboz M. (Yellow Cards) Felix J. (Inactive) Grosser M. (Yellow Cards) Uldrikis R. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Saarbrücken: Brunker K. (Broken jawbone) Naifi A. (Knee Injury) Neudecker R. (Muscle Injury) Rizzuto C. (Yellow Cards) Sardo J. (Injury) Schumacher T. (Injury) Uaferro B. (Muscle Injury)

Last 6 head-to-head matches Arminia won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:9 (average 1.2:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Arminia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:6 (average 1:3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arminia Bielefeld
German 3 Bundesliga
08.03.25	Verl - Arminia Bielefeld	2:1 ✺
02.03.25	Arminia Bielefeld - VfB Stuttgart II	4:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
25.02.25	Arminia Bielefeld - Werder Bremen	2:1 ✺
German 3 Bundesliga
21.02.25	1860 München - Arminia Bielefeld	0:3 ✺
15.02.25	Arminia Bielefeld - Erzgebirge Aue	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 LWWWW
- 1. FC Saarbrücken
German 3 Bundesliga
08.03.25	Saarbrücken - Energie Cottbus	2:1 ✺
28.02.25	Viktoria Köln - Saarbrücken	1:2 ✺
22.02.25	Saarbrücken - Hannover II	4:1 ✺
16.02.25	Unterhaching - Saarbrücken	2:0 ✺
08.02.25	Saarbrücken - Waldhof Mannheim	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
06.10.24	Saarbrücken - Arminia Bielefeld	0:0
25.02.24	Saarbrücken - Arminia Bielefeld	1:1
29.09.23	Arminia Bielefeld - Saarbrücken	2:6
20.02.13	Saarbrücken - Arminia Bielefeld	2:4
03.08.12	Arminia Bielefeld - Saarbrücken	N/A

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