Match Info

GERMANY: 3. Liga - Round 24

Date: 15 February 2025, Saturday

Location: Schüco Arena (Bielefeld)

Referee: Michel F. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Moja TV, Sportklub 2
Croatia	SportKlub 2
Germany	Magenta Sport, MDR Fernsehen, WDR Fernsehen
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Slovakia	Arena sport 2
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Usa	ESPN 3, ESPN App
World	Onefootball


	Arminia Bielefeld		Erzgebirge Aue

	1	X	2
	1.7	4	4.33
	1.74	3.55	4.1
	1.8	4.02	4.58
	1.68	3.96	4.57	Watch
	1.75	3.5	4
	1.71	3.8	4.26
	1.74	3.55	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↑ (1.68)	3.77 ↓ (3.85)	4.28 ↓ (4.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arminia Bielefeld
53.6%

Draw
24.6%

Erzgebirge Aue
21.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.1%

24%

20.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56%

23.6%

20.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arminia Bielefeld has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Erzgebirge Aue has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arminia Bielefeld than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Erzgebirge Aue than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	14.3%	42.9%

Arminia Bielefeld - Erzgebirge Aue Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Arminia will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Aue will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kersken J. (G) 24. Lannert C. 23. Schneider L. 3. Felix J. 2. Hagmann F. 21. Russo S. 38. Worl M. 6. Corboz M. (C) 37. Sarenren Bazee N. J. 28. Uldrikis R. 11. Grodowski J.	1. Mannel M. (G) 17. Fallmann P. 23. Barylla A. 4. Vukancic N. 29. Rosenlocher L. 30. Loune A. 10. Pepic M. 11. Sijaric O. 14. Tashchy B. 34. Stefaniak M. 15. Bar M.
Substitutes
17. Biankadi M. 19. Grosser M. 7. Kania J. 13. Kunze L. 18. Oppermann L. (G) 4. Oppie L. 8. Schreck S. 22. Schroers M. 30. Young I.	21. Burghardt M. 8. Clausen M. 20. Fabisch J. 19. Hoffmann T. 18. Kallenbach W. 25. Kips T. (G) 24. Nkansah S. 7. Seitz S.
Coaches
Kniat M.	Hartel J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Lannert C. ↓, Oppie L. ↑,
52', Fallmann P. 🟨,
61', Grodowski J. 🟨,
63', Stefaniak M. ↓, Clausen M. ↑,
66', Vukancic N. ↓, Nkansah S. ↑,
72', Uldrikis R. ↓, Kania J. ↑,
72', Sarenren Bazee N. J. ↓, Biankadi M. ↑,
72', Grodowski J. ↓, Young I. ↑,
76', Tashchy B. ↓, Hoffmann T. ↑,
76', Sijaric O. ↓, Seitz S. ↑,
76', Fallmann P. ↓, Burghardt M. ↑,
80', Schneider L. 🟨,
82', 1 - 0, Corboz M. ⚽,
86', 2 - 0, Kania J. ⚽,
88', Corboz M. ↓, Grosser M. ↑,
89', 2 - 1, Burghardt M. ⚽,
90+2', Rosenlocher L. 🟨,

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 8 and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Arminia won 2.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Arminia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Arminia is a favorite.

There will not play in Aue: Majetschak E. (Muscle Injury) Ozkan C. (Injury)

Last 13 head-to-head matches Arminia won 6 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 18:11 (average 1.4:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Arminia won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 12:6 (average 2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arminia Bielefeld
German 3 Bundesliga
07.02.25	Sandhausen - Arminia Bielefeld	1:0 ✺
02.02.25	Arminia Bielefeld - Rot-Weiß Essen	1:2 ✺
26.01.25	Borussia Dortmund II - Arminia Bielefeld	0:4 ✺
18.01.25	Arminia Bielefeld - Energie Cottbus	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
11.01.25	Arminia Bielefeld - TSV Havelse	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LLWLW
- Erzgebirge Aue
German 3 Bundesliga
08.02.25	Erzgebirge Aue - Alemannia Aachen	1:1 ✺
01.02.25	Dynamo Dresden - Erzgebirge Aue	2:1 ✺
25.01.25	Erzgebirge Aue - Osnabrück	0:0 ✺
17.01.25	Hannover II - Erzgebirge Aue	2:1 ✺
21.12.24	Erzgebirge Aue - 1860 München	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TLTLW

Latest Head to Head

German 3 Bundesliga
15.09.24	Erzgebirge Aue - Arminia Bielefeld	1:3
04.05.24	Erzgebirge Aue - Arminia Bielefeld	1:0
02.12.23	Arminia Bielefeld - Erzgebirge Aue	2:2
German 2 Bundesliga
31.01.20	Erzgebirge Aue - Arminia Bielefeld	0:0
17.08.19	Arminia Bielefeld - Erzgebirge Aue	3:1
05.04.19	Arminia Bielefeld - Erzgebirge Aue	2:1
27.10.18	Erzgebirge Aue - Arminia Bielefeld	1:0

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