Match Info

2. Lig Red Group - Round 13

Date: 29 November 2025, Saturday


	Arnavutköy		1461 Trabzon

	1	X	2
	2.45	3.1	2.52
	2.81	3.2	2.92
	2.63	3.07	2.63	Watch
	2.14	3.17	2.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↑ (2.14)	3.14 ↓ (3.17)	2.76 ↓ (2.97)

The best margin for this event is 1.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arnavutköy
36.9%

Draw
29.5%

1461 Trabzon
33.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.7%

28.2%

30.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

27%

28.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arnavutköy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

1461 Trabzon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arnavutköy than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arnavutköy, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for 1461 Trabzon than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45', 0 - 1, Yilmaz M. ⚽, Ucar M. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 2)
73', 0 - 2, Unal V. ⚽, Donmez N. (A),
77', 1 - 2, Akgun I. (Pen),
84', 1 - 3, Kiran E. K. ⚽,
90+6', 2 - 3, Donmez T. ⚽,

Preview

In recent matches, Arnavutköy has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

1461 Trabzon is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Arnavutköy could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arnavutköy Belediye
Turkish Second League Red Group
08.11.25	Yeni Malatyaspor - Arnavutköy	0:0 ✺
02.11.25	Arnavutköy - Aliaga	1:0 ✺
26.10.25	Somaspor - Arnavutköy	1:3 ✺
18.10.25	Arnavutköy - Ankara Demirspor	0:1 ✺
12.10.25	Mardin 1969 - Arnavutköy	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 TWWLL
- 1461 Trabzon
Turkish Second League Red Group
09.11.25	1461 Trabzon - Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu	2:2 ✺
02.11.25	Muş Spor - 1461 Trabzon	4:0 ✺
Turkish Cup
29.10.25	Çankaya - 1461 Trabzon	2:0 ✺
Turkish Second League Red Group
25.10.25	Yeni Malatyaspor - 1461 Trabzon	0:4 ✺
19.10.25	1461 Trabzon - Aliaga	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 TLLWL

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