Match Info

2. Lig Red Group - Round 9

Date: 19 October 2025, Sunday


	1461 Trabzon		Aliaga

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.95	3.3	1.85
	3.99	3.26	1.89
	2.90	3.41	2.20	Watch
	3.94	3.2	1.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.7 ↑ (2.82)	3.29 ↓ (3.3)	1.96 ↓ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

1461 Trabzon
24.9%

Draw
28%

Aliaga
47.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.3%

27.6%

40.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7%

27.1%

40.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

1461 Trabzon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that 1461 Trabzon's form might have worsened.

Aliaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Aliaga's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for 1461 Trabzon than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for 1461 Trabzon, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aliaga than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Aliaga, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

1461 Trabzon - Aliaga Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45+2', 0 - 1, Acikgoz M. ⚽, Kilic H. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
56', 0 - 2, Karaahmet M. ⚽, Kartal E. (A),
65', 0 - 3, Kavaklidere H. ⚽, Acikgoz M. (A),

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ 2. Lig Play Offs (Play Offs: )).

In recent matches, 1461 Trabzon has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Aliaga is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

1461 Trabzon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Aliaga will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 1461 Trabzon
Turkish Second League Red Group
12.10.25	Somaspor - 1461 Trabzon	0:3 ✺
05.10.25	1461 Trabzon - Ankara Demirspor	3:4 ✺
28.09.25	Mardin 1969 - 1461 Trabzon	2:1 ✺
21.09.25	1461 Trabzon - Fethiyespor	2:2 ✺
Turkish Cup
17.09.25	Yeni Amasyaspor - 1461 Trabzon	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WLLTW
- Aliaga FK
Turkish Second League Red Group
05.10.25	Muş Spor - Aliaga	2:2 ✺
28.09.25	Somaspor - Aliaga	0:3 ✺
21.09.25	Aliaga - Ankara Demirspor	2:0 ✺
13.09.25	Mardin 1969 - Aliaga	1:0 ✺
07.09.25	Aliaga - Fethiyespor	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TWWLW

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