Match Info

2. Lig Red Group - Round 21

Date: 28 January 2026, Wednesday


	Arnavutköy		Bursaspor

	1	X	2
	6.7	4.35	1.32
	9.83	5.23	1.3
	6.4	4.32	1.43	Watch
	8	4.6	1.3
	8.05	5.1	1.32
	8	4.75	1.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.83 ↑ (5.6)	4.73 ↑ (3.8)	1.33 ↓ (1.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arnavutköy
11.7%

Draw
19.3%

Bursaspor
69%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.8%

23.4%

60.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.4%

22.8%

62.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arnavutköy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Bursaspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bursaspor's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arnavutköy than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bursaspor than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bursaspor, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Arnavutköy - Bursaspor Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
29', 0 - 1, Depe I. ⚽, Aydogdu S. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

In this match, Bursaspor is the team to beat.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Arnavutköy won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1.7:2.3).

Including home match between the teams, Arnavutköy won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arnavutköy Belediye
Turkish Second League Red Group
24.01.26	Aksaray Belediyespor - Arnavutköy	0:1 ✺
18.01.26	Arnavutköy - Menemenspor	1:2 ✺
11.01.26	Kırklarelispor - Arnavutköy	1:1 ✺
21.12.25	Isparta 32 Spor - Arnavutköy	0:1 ✺
17.12.25	Arnavutköy - Adanaspor	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.3 WLTWW
- Bursaspor
Turkish Second League Red Group
24.01.26	Bursaspor - Yeni Mersin İdman Yurdu	3:0 ✺
18.01.26	1461 Trabzon - Bursaspor	2:1 ✺
20.12.25	Bursaspor - Aliaga	0:0 ✺
16.12.25	Somaspor - Bursaspor	0:3 ✺
12.12.25	Bursaspor - Ankara Demirspor	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Second League Red Group
13.09.25	Bursaspor - Arnavutköy	3:1
Turkish Second League White Group
30.04.23	Bursaspor - Arnavutköy	4:1
26.11.22	Arnavutköy - Bursaspor	3:0

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