Match Info

TURKEY: 2. Lig Red Group - Round 38

Date: 4 May 2024, Saturday


	Arnavutköy		Kastamonuspor

	1	X	2
	3.9	3.4	1.73
	4.2	3.75	1.75
	3.9	3.5	1.75
	4.55	4.05	1.63
	3.95	3.6	1.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.1 ↑ (3.17)	3.66 ↑ (3.08)	1.72 ↓ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arnavutköy
22.2%

Draw
24.9%

Kastamonuspor
53%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.8%

29.6%

41.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.9%

30.6%

42.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arnavutköy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arnavutköy's form might have worsened.

Kastamonuspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kastamonuspor's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arnavutköy than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arnavutköy, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kastamonuspor than the current prediction. (-10.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kastamonuspor, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
10', 1 - 0, Kurt O. ⚽,
31', 1 - 1, Kaya S. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
74', 2 - 1, Kurt O. ⚽,
77', Dogan I. 🟥,
85', 2 - 2, Yavuz K. ⚽,

Preview

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

In this match Kastamonuspor is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Arnavutköy won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arnavutköy Belediye
Turkish Second League Red Group
28.04.24	İnegölspor - Arnavutköy	0:1 ✺
21.04.24	Arnavutköy - Fethiyespor	2:0 ✺
14.04.24	24 Erzincanspor - Arnavutköy	0:0 ✺
07.04.24	Arnavutköy - Etimesgut	1:1 ✺
24.03.24	Isparta 32 Spor - Arnavutköy	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WWTTW
- Kastamonuspor
Turkish Second League Red Group
28.04.24	Kastamonuspor - Isparta 32 Spor	3:0 ✺
21.04.24	Karaman Belediyespor - Kastamonuspor	0:3 ✺
14.04.24	Kastamonuspor - Amed SK	0:1 ✺
07.04.24	Derince Belediyespor - Kastamonuspor	0:0 ✺
03.04.24	Kastamonuspor - Uşakspor	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Second League Red Group
24.12.23	Kastamonuspor - Arnavutköy	3:1

Arnavutköy - Kastamonuspor: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide