Match Info

2. Lig White Group - Round 16

Date: 12 December 2025, Friday


	Karaman Belediyespor		Kastamonuspor

	1	X	2
	4.25	3.55	1.62
	4.84	3.77	1.64
	4.45	3.62	1.71	Watch
	4.6	3.4	1.62
	4.99	3.48	1.63
	3.8	3.14	1.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.49 ↑ (2.25)	3.49 ↑ (3)	1.68 ↓ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karaman Belediyespor
20.2%

Draw
26%

Kastamonuspor
53.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.6%

29.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karaman Belediyespor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Karaman Belediyespor's form might have worsened.

Kastamonuspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+23.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kastamonuspor's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karaman Belediyespor than the current prediction. (+20.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Karaman Belediyespor, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kastamonuspor than the current prediction. (-24.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kastamonuspor, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Karaman Belediyespor - Kastamonuspor Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Kastamonuspor (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Kastamonuspor (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 2nd Half - Kastamonuspor (2.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - Karaman (3.57) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Karaman (votes: 1 - 20%). Kastamonuspor (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
13', 1 - 0, Akpinar H. ⚽, Dagli S. (A),
32', 1 - 1, Ozturk M. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90', 1 - 2, Altintas H. (Own goal),

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 14 and 7).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Karaman may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Kastamonuspor could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Karaman won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 1:3).

Including home match between the teams, Karaman won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Karaman Belediyespor
Turkish Second League White Group
06.12.25	Şanlıurfaspor - Karaman Belediyespor	2:0 ✺
26.11.25	Karaman Belediyespor - Karacabey Belediyespor	1:1 ✺
08.11.25	Batman Petrolspor - Karaman Belediyespor	0:2 ✺
02.11.25	Karaman Belediyespor - Altınordu	2:0 ✺
26.10.25	Beyoglu Yeni Carsi - Karaman Belediyespor	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 51 LTWWT
- Kastamonuspor
Turkish Second League White Group
07.12.25	Kastamonuspor - Karacabey Belediyespor	2:1 ✺
30.11.25	Batman Petrolspor - Kastamonuspor	2:1 ✺
26.11.25	Kastamonuspor - Altınordu	7:1 ✺
08.11.25	Beyoglu Yeni Carsi - Kastamonuspor	0:1 ✺
02.11.25	Kastamonuspor - Ankaragücü	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Second League Red Group
21.04.24	Karaman Belediyespor - Kastamonuspor	0:3
10.12.23	Kastamonuspor - Karaman Belediyespor	3:2

Karaman Belediyespor - Kastamonuspor: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide