Match Info

TURKEY: 2. LIG RED GROUP - ROUND 16

Date: 2 December 2023, Saturday


	Arnavutköy		24 Erzincanspor

	1	X	2
	2.85	3	2.3
	2.75	3.1	2.55
	3.04	2.9	2.52
	3.04	2.9	2.52
	2.64	2.98	2.58
	2.9	2.95	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.87 ↓ (4.09)	2.97 ↓ (3.4)	2.47 ↑ (1.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arnavutköy
32%

Draw
30.9%

24 Erzincanspor
37.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.2%

26.7%

51.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.1%

26.5%

51.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arnavutköy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arnavutköy's performance.

24 Erzincanspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and 24 Erzincanspor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arnavutköy than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arnavutköy that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for 24 Erzincanspor than the current prediction. (+14.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that 24 Erzincanspor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Arnavutköy - 24 Erzincanspor Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Two teams are playing changeable.

24 Erzincanspor could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Arnavutköy won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Arnavutköy won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arnavutköy Belediye
Turkish Second League Red Group
26.11.23	Etimesgut - Arnavutköy	1:1 ✺
12.11.23	Arnavutköy - Isparta 32 Spor	0:1 ✺
05.11.23	Karaman Belediyespor - Arnavutköy	2:1 ✺
Turkish Cup
01.11.23	Arnavutköy - Golcukspor	2:1 ✺
Turkish Second League Red Group
28.10.23	Arnavutköy - Amed SK	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TLLWT
- 24 Erzincanspor
Turkish Second League Red Group
26.11.23	24 Erzincanspor - Isparta 32 Spor	3:0 ✺
19.11.23	Karaman Belediyespor - 24 Erzincanspor	2:0 ✺
12.11.23	24 Erzincanspor - Amed SK	0:0 ✺
05.11.23	Derince Belediyespor - 24 Erzincanspor	1:1 ✺
28.10.23	24 Erzincanspor - Uşakspor	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Second League White Group
19.03.23	Arnavutköy - 24 Erzincanspor	0:0
05.10.22	24 Erzincanspor - Arnavutköy	1:1

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