Match Info

TURKEY: 2. LIG RED GROUP - ROUND 23

Date: 31 January 2024, Wednesday


	Arnavutköy		Denizlispor

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.75	6	Watch
	1.56	3.6	5.09
	1.55	3.7	6.22
	1.7	3.4	4
	1.54	3.64	5.8
	1.55	3.55	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (2.22)	3.61 ↑ (3.3)	5.42 ↑ (2.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arnavutköy
57.9%

Draw
25.3%

Denizlispor
16.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.2%

27.7%

31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

25.9%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arnavutköy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arnavutköy's performance.

Denizlispor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Denizlispor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arnavutköy than the current prediction. (-13.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arnavutköy that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Denizlispor than the current prediction. (+12.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Denizlispor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Arnavutköy is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Denizlispor is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Arnavutköy is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Arnavutköy won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arnavutköy Belediye
Turkish Second League Red Group
27.01.24	Menemenspor - Arnavutköy	1:1 ✺
20.01.24	Arnavutköy - Somaspor	0:1 ✺
14.01.24	Igdirspor - Arnavutköy	2:1 ✺
24.12.23	Kastamonuspor - Arnavutköy	3:1 ✺
19.12.23	Arnavutköy - İnegölspor	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TLLLT
- Denizlispor
Turkish Second League Red Group
27.01.24	Denizlispor - Isparta 32 Spor	1:2 ✺
21.01.24	Karaman Belediyespor - Denizlispor	1:0 ✺
14.01.24	Denizlispor - Amed SK	1:1 ✺
24.12.23	Denizlispor - Derince Belediyespor	2:1 ✺
19.12.23	Uşakspor - Denizlispor	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LLTWT

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Second League Red Group
17.09.23	Denizlispor - Arnavutköy	3:2

Arnavutköy - Denizlispor: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide