Match Info

TURKEY: 2. LIG RED GROUP - ROUND 19

Date: 24 December 2023, Sunday

Location: Denizli Atatürk Stadyumu (Denizli)


	Denizlispor		Derince Belediyespor

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.1	2.45
	2.7	3.25	2.5	Watch
	2.8	3.18	2.5
	2.8	3.18	2.51
	2.5	3.1	2.38
	2.68	3.1	2.47
	2.65	3.05	2.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↑ (2.15)	3.14 ↓ (3.18)	2.47 ↓ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Denizlispor
34.1%

Draw
29%

Derince Belediyespor
36.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.2%

28.5%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2%

25.8%

32.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Denizlispor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Denizlispor's form might have worsened.

Derince Belediyespor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Derince Belediyespor's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Denizlispor than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derince Belediyespor than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

Denizlispor - Derince Belediyespor Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Denizlispor is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Derince Belediyespor has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Denizlispor
Turkish Second League Red Group
19.12.23	Uşakspor - Denizlispor	2:2 ✺
10.12.23	Denizlispor - Iskenderunspor	1:2 ✺
03.12.23	Aksaray Belediyespor - Denizlispor	0:1 ✺
26.11.23	Denizlispor - Düzcespor	1:2 ✺
19.11.23	Sarıyer - Denizlispor	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 TLWLL
- Derince Belediyespor
Turkish Second League Red Group
20.12.23	Derince Belediyespor - Menemenspor	2:3 ✺
10.12.23	Somaspor - Derince Belediyespor	1:0 ✺
Turkish Cup
05.12.23	Fatih Karagümrükspor - Derince Belediyespor	3:1 ✺
Turkish Second League Red Group
02.12.23	Derince Belediyespor - Igdirspor	0:3 ✺
26.11.23	Kastamonuspor - Derince Belediyespor	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Denizlispor - Derince Belediyespor: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide