Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 2 - Round 19

Date: 17 January 2026, Saturday


	Beasain		Utebo

	1	X	2
	2.45	2.98	2.72
	2.56	3.07	2.7	Watch
	2.5	2.8	2.75
	2.49	3.34	2.72
	2.54	3	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↑ (2.33)	3.04 ↓ (3.18)	2.73 ↓ (2.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Beasain
36.4%

Draw
30.1%

Utebo
33.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.6%

28.4%

33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

28%

32.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Beasain has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Utebo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Beasain than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Utebo than the current prediction. (-1%)

Beasain - Utebo Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Utebo (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Utebo (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+4', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Recent performances by Beasain have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Utebo has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Beasain won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:7. (average 1.7:2.3).

Including home match between the teams, Beasain won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Utebo FC	5	1	3	1	5:5	0	6

Last Results with these Odds

Utebo - the odds 2.73 are the expected chance of winning is 32.99%, but this team recently wins 18% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Beasain
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
11.01.26	Basconia - Beasain	1:1 ✺
04.01.26	Beasain - Náxara	0:1 ✺
21.12.25	Zaragoza B - Beasain	1:2 ✺
13.12.25	Beasain - SD Logroñés	2:0 ✺
07.12.25	Alavés B - Beasain	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 TLWWL
- Utebo FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
11.01.26	Utebo - UD Logroñés	3:0 ✺
04.01.26	Eibar B - Utebo	3:2 ✺
20.12.25	Utebo - Alavés B	0:1 ✺
14.12.25	Ebro - Utebo	3:1 ✺
07.12.25	Utebo - Sestao	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
09.11.25	Utebo - Beasain	2:2
25.02.23	Beasain - Utebo	1:1
09.10.22	Utebo - Beasain	4:2

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