Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 14

Date: 11 December 2022, Sunday


	Arnedo		Izarra

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.2	2.05
	3.45	3.25	2
	3.25	3.2	2.04
	3.36	3.09	2.22
	2.75	2.9	2.5
	3.34	3.15	2.1
	3.3	3.25	2.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.24 ↑ (2.3)	3.15 ↑ (3)	2.14 ↓ (2.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arnedo
28.2%

Draw
29%

Izarra
42.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

29.9%

31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2%

31.5%

29.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arnedo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arnedo's form might have worsened.

Izarra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Izarra's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arnedo than the current prediction. (+13%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arnedo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Izarra than the current prediction. (-13.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Izarra, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Arnedo - Izarra Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 11).

Recent matches Arnedo is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Izarra is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Arnedo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Arnedo
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
04.12.22	Tudelano - Arnedo	1:0 ✺
27.11.22	Arnedo - Sestao	1:2 ✺
20.11.22	Real Sociedad C - Arnedo	3:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
13.11.22	Arnedo - Atlético Baleares	2:1 penalties ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
06.11.22	Arnedo - Racing Rioja	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LLLWW
- CD Izarra
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
04.12.22	Izarra - Brea	0:1 ✺
26.11.22	Cirbonero - Izarra	1:2 ✺
20.11.22	Izarra - Mutilvera	1:0 ✺
05.11.22	San Juan - Izarra	1:1 ✺
30.10.22	Izarra - Alavés B	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 LWWTW

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