Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 12

Date: 27 November 2022, Sunday


	Arnedo		Sestao

	1	X	2
	4.4	3.2	1.72
	4.2	3.2	1.82
	4.3	3.3	1.75
	5.15	3.37	1.7
	5	3.5	1.6
	4.7	3.34	1.72
	4.3	3.35	1.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.58 ↑ (3.11)	3.32 ↑ (3.18)	1.72 ↓ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arnedo
19.9%

Draw
27.4%

Sestao
52.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.9%

28.3%

42.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.8%

28.2%

43%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arnedo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arnedo's form might have worsened.

Sestao has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sestao's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arnedo than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arnedo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sestao than the current prediction. (-9.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sestao, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	11.1%	55.6%

Arnedo - Sestao Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Arnedo will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Sestao will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sestao: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Arnedo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Sestao is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Arnedo
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
20.11.22	Real Sociedad C - Arnedo	3:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
13.11.22	Arnedo - Atlético Baleares	2:1 penalties ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
06.11.22	Arnedo - Racing Rioja	2:0 ✺
29.10.22	Beasain - Arnedo	3:1 ✺
23.10.22	Brea - Arnedo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LWWLL
- Sestao River
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
20.11.22	Sestao - Brea	0:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
12.11.22	Sestao - Ferrol	1:0 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 2
06.11.22	Cirbonero - Sestao	0:0 ✺
29.10.22	Sestao - Mutilvera	2:0 ✺
22.10.22	San Juan - Sestao	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LWTWT

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