The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Arnedo 37.4%
Draw 31.1%
Varea 31.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.8%
30.6%
30.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.8%
30.6%
30.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arnedo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
Varea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arnedo than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varea than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
Arnedo - Varea Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, ⚽,
35', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
64', 3 - 0, ⚽,
Preview
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 16 (Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 16 (Play Offs: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arnedo won 1.
Arnedo is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Varea is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Arnedo won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:15. (average 1.1:2.1).
Including home match between the teams, Arnedo won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
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