Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 16 - Round 22

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday


	Berceo		Arnedo

	1	X	2
	4.15	3.4	1.72
	4.4	3.33	1.75
	5.74	2.38	2.05	Watch
	4	3.3	1.75
	4.39	3.34	1.74
	4.5	3.33	1.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.53 ↑ (3.67)	3.18 ↓ (3.4)	1.79 ↓ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Berceo
20.2%

Draw
28.7%

Arnedo
51.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.7%

26.7%

48.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.7%

46.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Berceo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Arnedo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Berceo than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Berceo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arnedo than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Berceo - Arnedo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
10', 1 - 0, ⚽,
45+1', 1 - 1, Andreica M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
75', 1 - 2, Martinez J. ⚽,
90+6', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 14 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 16 (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Berceo won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Arnedo will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Berceo won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 0.8:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Berceo won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1:1.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Berceo	5	4	0	1	14:5	9	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Berceo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
08.02.26	San Marcial - Berceo	1:1 ✺
01.02.26	Berceo - La Calzada	1:1 ✺
25.01.26	Varea - Berceo	1:0 ✺
18.01.26	Berceo - Peña Balsamaiso	1:0 ✺
10.01.26	Berceo - Autol	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TTLWW
- CD Arnedo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
08.02.26	Arnedo - UD Logroñés Promesas	0:2 ✺
01.02.26	Oyonesa - Arnedo	1:3 ✺
18.01.26	Anguiano - Arnedo	2:1 ✺
10.01.26	Haro Deportivo - Arnedo	2:2 ✺
04.01.26	Arnedo - Agoncillo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
05.10.25	Arnedo - Berceo	0:1
27.10.24	Berceo - Arnedo	0:1
24.03.24	Arnedo - Berceo	1:0
05.11.23	Berceo - Arnedo	0:0
01.05.22	Arnedo - Berceo	0:0
09.01.22	Berceo - Arnedo	2:3
17.01.21	Berceo - Arnedo	0:2

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