Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 16 - Round 23Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday
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La Calzada |
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Varea |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
4.55 |
3.45 |
1.65 |
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 |
4.06 |
3.52 |
1.8 |
 Watch |
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4 |
3.1 |
1.85 |
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3.65 |
3.65 |
1.91 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.07 ↓
(4.93) |
3.43 ↓
(3.78) |
1.8 ↑
(1.58) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
La Calzada
22.5% | Draw
26.7% | Varea
50.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
La Calzada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)Varea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Varea might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for La Calzada than the current prediction. (-4.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Varea than the current prediction. (+7.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Varea could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.La Calzada - Varea Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 34', 1 - 0, Muro M. ⚽,
- 40', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 73', 1 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 13 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 16 (Play Offs: )).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, La Calzada won 0.La Calzada has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).Varea is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3). In this match, Varea is considered a favorite.In the last 16 head-to-head matches, La Calzada won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 17:27. (average 1.1:1.7).Including home matches between the teams, La Calzada won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 0.7:1.3).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 3 | CDFC Calzada | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9:4 | 5 | 12 |
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| 8 | Varea | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 7 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16 | | | 12.10.25 | Varea - La Calzada | 0:0 | | 25.05.25 | Varea - La Calzada | 3:2 ET | | 18.05.25 | La Calzada - Varea | 0:1 | | 04.05.25 | Varea - La Calzada | 2:0 | | 21.12.24 | La Calzada - Varea | 2:2 | | 25.02.24 | Varea - La Calzada | 1:0 | | 08.10.23 | La Calzada - Varea | 0:1 |
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