Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 16 - Round 28

Date: 29 March 2026, Sunday


	Arnedo		Yagüe

	1	X	2
	1.32	4.35	8.1
	1.33	4.6	8.53
	1.34	4.55	8.39
	1.33	4.2	8.5
	1.3	4.5	9.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.32 ↓ (1.43)	4.44 ↑ (4.28)	8.52 ↑ (6.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arnedo
68.8%

Draw
20.5%

Yagüe
10.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.8%

21.3%

15%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.6%

19.8%

14%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arnedo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Yagüe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arnedo than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yagüe than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Arnedo - Yagüe Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, ⚽,
45', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', 3 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 16 (Play Offs: ) and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arnedo won 1.

Arnedo has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In recent matches, Yagüe has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Arnedo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Arnedo is the obvious favorite.

We predict that Arnedo will win today's game, with odds of 1.41.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Arnedo won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:9. (average 1.4:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Arnedo won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Yague	5	2	0	3	5:8	-3	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Arnedo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
21.03.26	Arnedo - San Marcial	7:1 ✺
15.03.26	La Calzada - Arnedo	1:4 ✺
08.03.26	Arnedo - Varea	3:0 ✺
01.03.26	Peña Balsamaiso - Arnedo	1:5 ✺
22.02.26	Arnedo - Autol	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWWWW
- Yagüe CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
22.03.26	Yagüe - Pradejón	1:1 ✺
14.03.26	San Marcial - Yagüe	1:0 ✺
08.03.26	Yagüe - Anguiano	4:2 ✺
01.03.26	La Calzada - Yagüe	0:0 ✺
21.02.26	Yagüe - Haro Deportivo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 TLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
15.11.25	Yagüe - Arnedo	1:1
11.05.25	Yagüe - Arnedo	2:1
12.01.25	Arnedo - Yagüe	2:0
23.01.22	Arnedo - Yagüe	0:0
10.04.21	Yagüe - Arnedo	1:1
16.11.19	Yagüe - Arnedo	1:2
23.09.18	Yagüe - Arnedo	4:3

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