Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 16 - Round 26

Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday


	La Calzada		Arnedo

	1	X	2
	3.65	3.3	1.88
	3.86	3.38	1.88
	3.66	2.77	2.24	Watch
	3.8	3.1	1.85
	3.72	3.61	1.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.74 ↑ (3.64)	3.23 ↓ (3.6)	1.95 ↑ (1.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

La Calzada
24.6%

Draw
28.4%

Arnedo
47%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.2%

25.5%

49.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.7%

25%

50.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

La Calzada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Arnedo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for La Calzada than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arnedo than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

La Calzada - Arnedo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
7', 1 - 0, ⚽,
9', 1 - 1, ⚽,
45+1', 1 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
62', 1 - 3, ⚽,
68', 1 - 4, ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 12 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 16 (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, La Calzada won 2.

La Calzada has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Arnedo is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Arnedo is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, La Calzada won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 1:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, La Calzada won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	CDFC Calzada	5	4	0	1	9:4	5	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CDFC La Calzada
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
08.03.26	San Marcial - La Calzada	2:2 ✺
01.03.26	La Calzada - Yagüe	0:0 ✺
22.02.26	La Calzada - Varea	1:2 ✺
15.02.26	Peña Balsamaiso - La Calzada	0:0 ✺
08.02.26	La Calzada - Autol	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 TTLTW
- CD Arnedo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
08.03.26	Arnedo - Varea	3:0 ✺
01.03.26	Peña Balsamaiso - Arnedo	1:5 ✺
22.02.26	Arnedo - Autol	6:0 ✺
14.02.26	Berceo - Arnedo	2:2 ✺
08.02.26	Arnedo - UD Logroñés Promesas	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 16
02.11.25	Arnedo - La Calzada	1:0
17.04.25	Arnedo - La Calzada	1:1
06.12.24	La Calzada - Arnedo	1:0
16.12.23	Arnedo - La Calzada	0:4
19.03.22	Arnedo - La Calzada	1:0
07.11.21	La Calzada - Arnedo	1:0
07.03.21	Arnedo - La Calzada	1:0

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