The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Arosa 40.4%
Draw 26.7%
Llanera 32.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
46.5%
26.6%
27%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46.4%
26.5%
27.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arosa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arosa's form might have worsened.
Llanera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Llanera's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arosa than the current prediction. (+6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arosa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Llanera than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Llanera, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Arosa - Llanera Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Arellano Jimenez M. ⚽,
15', 2 - 0, Maceira J. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
60', 2 - 1, Gonzalez D. ⚽,
79', 3 - 1, Morante D. (Penalty Awarded),
85', 4 - 1, Morante D. ⚽,
Preview
A determined lower-tier side seeks an essential result against mid-table opposition (ranked 17th in the Relegation and 13th in the Segunda RFEF - Play Out).
Arosa is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Llanera has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Llanera could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Arosa holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Arosa has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 0:3 (averaging 0:1.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Arosa against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 0:0 goals.