Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 7

Date: 19 October 2025, Sunday


	Arosa		Noia

	1	X	2
	1.81	3.22	3.93
	2.02	3.24	3.62	Watch
	1.82	3.34	4.01
	2.33	3.1	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↓ (2.32)	3.23 ↑ (3.14)	3.6 ↑ (2.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Arosa
46%

Draw
28.5%

Noia
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.3%

29%

31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3%

29%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arosa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Arosa's performance.

Noia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Noia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arosa than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Arosa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Noia than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Noia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Arosa - Noia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
15', 0 - 1, ⚽,
28', 0 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (5 - 0)
58', 1 - 2, ⚽,
60', 2 - 2, ⚽,
78', 3 - 2, ⚽,
90+3', 4 - 2, ⚽,
90+5', 5 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 1 (Play Offs: ) and 10).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Arosa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Arosa won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).

Including home match between the teams, Arosa won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arosa SC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
11.10.25	RC Villalbes - Arosa	3:1 ✺
05.10.25	Arosa - Barbadás	3:0 ✺
28.09.25	Alondras - Arosa	0:2 ✺
21.09.25	Arosa - Lugo B	2:2 ✺
14.09.25	Gran Peña - Arosa	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LWWTT
- CF Noia
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
12.10.25	Noia - Atlético Arteixo	2:3 ✺
05.10.25	Viveiro - Noia	0:1 ✺
28.09.25	RC Villalbes - Noia	2:0 ✺
21.09.25	Noia - Barbadás	4:1 ✺
13.09.25	Alondras - Noia	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
02.02.25	Noia - Arosa	0:0
22.09.24	Arosa - Noia	0:2

Upcoming Matches