Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 6

Date: 11 October 2025, Saturday


	RC Villalbes		Arosa

	1	X	2
	2.62	2.82	2.68
	2.79	2.69	2.82
	1.46	4.40	5.99	Watch
	2.64	2.88	2.61
	2.5	3.2	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 (2.4)	3.2 (3.2)	3.34 ↑ (2.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

RC Villalbes
40.5%

Draw
30.4%

Arosa
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

28.2%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9%

30.7%

31.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

RC Villalbes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Arosa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Arosa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for RC Villalbes than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arosa than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

RC Villalbes - Arosa Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Villalbes (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Villalbes (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
1', 1 - 0, ⚽,
16', 2 - 0, ⚽,
45+2', 3 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
85', 3 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 7 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 1 (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Villalbes won 2.

Villalbes has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Arosa is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Villalbes won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:7. (average 1.3:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Villalbes won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Racing Club Villalbes
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
04.10.25	Atlético Arteixo - RC Villalbes	0:1 ✺
28.09.25	RC Villalbes - Noia	2:0 ✺
21.09.25	Viveiro - RC Villalbes	1:0 ✺
14.09.25	Barbadás - RC Villalbes	0:0 ✺
07.09.25	RC Villalbes - Alondras	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWLTL
- Arosa SC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
05.10.25	Arosa - Barbadás	3:0 ✺
28.09.25	Alondras - Arosa	0:2 ✺
21.09.25	Arosa - Lugo B	2:2 ✺
14.09.25	Gran Peña - Arosa	2:2 ✺
07.09.25	Arosa - Silva SD	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
09.02.25	Arosa - RC Villalbes	1:1
29.09.24	RC Villalbes - Arosa	0:1
20.05.23	Arosa - RC Villalbes	1:2
13.05.23	RC Villalbes - Arosa	1:1
23.04.23	RC Villalbes - Arosa	2:1
08.01.23	Arosa - RC Villalbes	1:1
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
04.03.18	RC Villalbes - Arosa	2:1

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